California vs Utah 10/27/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with California winning 56% of simulations, and Utah 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. California commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. Utah wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Isi Sofele is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. John White is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTAH -1.5
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