Buffalo vs Akron 11/26/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Buffalo winning 54% of simulations, and Akron 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Buffalo commits fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Akron wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Branden Oliver is averaging 41 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Alex Allen is averaging 57 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AKR -1

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