what does a touchdown have to do with total wins on the season??????????????
Blue, what it really comes down to is can they win 7 or only 6. It also comes down to how big a bet it is for you. If it is a fun bet, go for the 6.5. If it is a serious bet (which I guess all bets really are) I would play 7, save the .30. It will still take 8 to beat you and if it lands on 7 you have no action. You can also hedge the bet late in the season if they have 6 wins by betting on them. I'm sure they will be getting points so you can probably middle them.
good luck
Vegas uses 55 to 60 cents on average to move a line 1/2 win up or down. Comparison shopping can get you out at 40 cents.
Never compromise by letting a tie become a loss.
If you like over on a play and the #'s are 7 -150 or 7 1/2 at =, do the 7. If the #'s are 7.5 and 8, I do the 8 unless I get a good price on 7.5.
The reverse happens on unders (use under 8, not 7.5, but can do under 7 vs 7.5)
ROCK THE BOOK!
GOOD LUCK!
Rex
Never compromise by letting a tie become a loss.
If you like over on a play and the #'s are 7 -150 or 7 1/2 at =, do the 7. If the #'s are 7.5 and 8, I do the 8 unless I get a good price on 7.5.
The reverse happens on unders (use under 8, not 7.5, but can do under 7 vs 7.5)
ROCK THE BOOK!
GOOD LUCK!
Rex
thanks guys. i made the play...i laid the juice and took the under 7.5. my reasoning was that only the 8 beats me. if i go into the last weekend 6-9, i win...if i go into the week 7-8 i hedge by taking chicago plus the points (they will almost certainly be a dog @ kansas city) and possibly win both ways.
i think they can concievably lose their first six games...if that happens a hedge will not be necessary.
good luck.
i think they can concievably lose their first six games...if that happens a hedge will not be necessary.
good luck.
boys,i now need your advice. the bears are 7-8 after going 4-1 in their last 5 games. they will be a dog this week at k.c. the question is, do i take chicago and the points to hedge the season wins bet? i could win both ways.
i stand to win $1,200 if the bears lose the game. i really don't believe they can win at kansas city (k.c.is 7-0 at home and the bears are 1-6 on the road). my gut says to let it ride...do not hedge. but, my brain knows that i could lose the season win bet and i could possibly play the bears plus the points and win both ways.
what would you do?
i stand to win $1,200 if the bears lose the game. i really don't believe they can win at kansas city (k.c.is 7-0 at home and the bears are 1-6 on the road). my gut says to let it ride...do not hedge. but, my brain knows that i could lose the season win bet and i could possibly play the bears plus the points and win both ways.
what would you do?
Blue,
1. Hedge
2. Hedge with points AND with ML play
3. Hedge wahatever amount you want to GUARANTEE your profit to be. You are in a lovely position.
1. Hedge
2. Hedge with points AND with ML play
3. Hedge wahatever amount you want to GUARANTEE your profit to be. You are in a lovely position.
blue,
The Bears are currently 3-0 SU vs. non-conference opponents. Only two teams have gone 4-0 vs. non-conference opponents while finishing the season without a winning record over the past 15 seasons, the 1995 Saints (7-9) & the 1997 Oilers (8-8). Neither one of those teams beat a non-conference opponent who was 12-3 though. Hope this helps.
Big Lou
The Bears are currently 3-0 SU vs. non-conference opponents. Only two teams have gone 4-0 vs. non-conference opponents while finishing the season without a winning record over the past 15 seasons, the 1995 Saints (7-9) & the 1997 Oilers (8-8). Neither one of those teams beat a non-conference opponent who was 12-3 though. Hope this helps.
Big Lou
Blue, you've put yourself in a nice situation! If I were needing the cash, or wanting to be conservative for some reason then I would put $150 on the moneyline +325. That way you would leave with around $500-$600 no matter what...I doubt Chicago will get the upset here, check and see about "if NE Pats lose and KC win situation" for home advantage in playoffs. KC will probably crush the Bears anyway!
GL!!!!
GL!!!!
