Bowling Green vs Virginia Tech 9/22/2012

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Virginia Tech is a heavy favorite winning 90% of simulations over Bowling Green. Logan Thomas is averaging 265 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Michael Holmes is projected for 84 rushing yards and a 56% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10% of simulations where Bowling Green wins, Matt Schilz averages 2.06 TD passes vs 1.06 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.9 TDs to 1.37 interceptions. Anthon Samuel averages 85 rushing yards and 0.84 rushing TDs when Bowling Green wins and 77 yards and 0.44 TDs in losses. Virginia Tech has a 52% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VTECH -21

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