Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois 10/16/2021

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Northern Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 78% of simulations over Bowling Green. Rocky Lombardi is averaging 248 passing yards and 2 TDs per simulation and Harrison Waylee is projected for 72 rushing yards and a 50% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22% of simulations where Bowling Green wins, Grant Loy averages 1.35 TD passes vs 0.8 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.67 TDs to 1.13 interceptions. Andrew Clair averages 142 rushing yards and 1.79 rushing TDs when Bowling Green wins and 121 yards and 0.96 TDs in losses. Northern Illinois has a 33% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NOILL -9.5 --- Over/Under line is 45.5
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