Biggest Upset Coming in Week 6!!! Clevlenad Wins it outright!!!

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You are correct Mac..will be a big play for me as well.

Public will be all over the Giants..

This is the week the books clean up, looking at these NFL lines.
 

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LOL as a browns fan I wish u were right but the NYG team is for real...cleveland coming off there only win barely beating the bengals...lookin for the giants to embarrass the browns as I had NYG as my biggest play last week and itll be even more this week, line should be around 16...NYG -7.5
 

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I like that play on the ML.
Good post!
 

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Its 6 days away and you can already smell it....Plexico is still out...

he's not out next week

they were investigating a domestic violence charge he had, dont know what happened


when i saw that -7 my mouth started watering. i took the seahawks last week, like most on the board, and we see what happened there. every week the browns seem like they have some value, then, like has already been mentioned, crenell makes a horrible call.

they will not do anything with crenell as their coach. they had one of the easiest schedules in football last year, that was the only reason for their average record.

they need to get marty back in there.
 

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I'm not going to get into details just yet. I've been eyeing this game since the end of week 4. This is a spot where the Giants are due for a letdown, and the Browns ENTIRE season rests on this game. Coming off a bye in front of their home crowd, on Monday Night for ALL the marbles. Win and that can be the momentum needed to turn the season around, Lose and they are finished for the year.

Bottom Line wait till the line goes to 9.5 for the Giants, then Take the Cleveland Browns on the MONEY LINE$$$.

I will FULLY handicap this game and give you some TRUE INDEPTH analysis for this game later on in the week.
I promise you there will be no let down from the Giants. National spot light they will show the whole country they are for real. They are a very good football team. I'm not saying they are a lock to cover the # I just think there is lot of betters games to hammer the man with. GL with your action.
 

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I wouldn't be surprised to see the Browns win, but I can easily see them screwing things up in a close game and losing by a TD.

With that said, the Giants haven't really had a tough test yet. They played the Skins before Washington started to gel....then St. Louis, Cinci and Seattle? Weak.

I love the spread here for Cleveland, definitely a strong play...ML not so sure. Probably worth a small punt for me.
 

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Giants have the edge at QB, coaching and defense.
The Giants can stop the run, the Browns can not stop the run.
That gives the Giants the edge at running the ball.
Skins are adding pressure in their division.
I like the Giants to win by at least 7.
But I will keep an eye on it and watch for your post.
 

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win or lose, giants bettors will be betting into a grossly inflated line.

giants value has been maxed out.
cleveland very undervalued after the slow start.

true line for this game is probably 'pick' or perhaps new york (-3)

does that mean new york wont win by double digits? absolutely not. the game is decided on the field.

but cleveland caught the bye week at the right time because they desperately needed to get guys like stallworth healthy.

if cleveland wins, its not exactly an upset.
giants arent a TD better than cleveland on the road. but the line is understandable given the way the first month played out.

basically, this is a game where if the giants win by a 3-4 points, new york backers will lose a bet they would have won if the game were played a month ago. imo, its incredibly tough to justify playing new york at the current price. those laying the chalk in this game have to understand they are being taxed quite a bit for the opportunity to take the giants. sometimes, it ends up being a moot point. other times, the game falls just short of the number and thats where the inflation rears its head.
 

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I wouldn't be surprised to see the Browns win, but I can easily see them screwing things up in a close game and losing by a TD.

With that said, the Giants haven't really had a tough test yet. They played the Skins before Washington started to gel....then St. Louis, Cinci and Seattle? Weak.

I love the spread here for Cleveland, definitely a strong play...ML not so sure. Probably worth a small punt for me.


Washington did "gel" in the preseason but they ran into a road block called the G Men. Giants are the best team in football right now, less talented then last years squad but much more experenced; and showed it with the come from behind win over Cin.
 

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win or lose, giants bettors will be betting into a grossly inflated line.

giants value has been maxed out.
cleveland very undervalued after the slow start.

true line for this game is probably 'pick' or perhaps new york (-3)

does that mean new york wont win by double digits? absolutely not. the game is decided on the field.

but cleveland caught the bye week at the right time because they desperately needed to get guys like stallworth healthy.

if cleveland wins, its not exactly an upset.
giants arent a TD better than cleveland on the road. but the line is understandable given the way the first month played out.

basically, this is a game where if the giants win by a 3-4 points, new york backers will lose a bet they would have won if the game were played a month ago. imo, its incredibly tough to justify playing new york at the current price. those laying the chalk in this game have to understand they are being taxed quite a bit for the opportunity to take the giants. sometimes, it ends up being a moot point. other times, the game falls just short of the number and thats where the inflation rears its head.

I said it once before, and I'll say it AGAIN. Prodigy is the MOST knowledgeable person on this site in football, other than myself of course.
 

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To each his own, I guess, as I completely disagree with Prodigy and Mac on this one. It doesn't matter much who the Browns have at WR. Overvaluing any offensive skill position other than the QB is a mistake you probably see more than any other here in forum land. No Plaxico last week? No problem, as the Giants have their best passing week of the season (versus opponent's averages). I could go on and on and on.

Once the Giants have the lead in this game (as the Browns are outmatched in the running game) and can set their pass rush loose Derek Anderson will not be able to make enough plays to win or cover. Giants 27 -- Browns 13

I personally bet the Gints -7 when it opened because you had to figure that line was going to rise, whether you agree with my spreadsheet lines or not.
 

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I understand the inflation factor with the spread, but calling an outright upset is still a bold prediction. We're talking about the undefeated Champs riding an 11 game ROAD winning streak. As well as New York has played lately and as badly as Cleveland has played - I don't see it happening, but big props to ya if you get it right.









Derrik Anderson's current passer rating: 49.9

:shocked:
 

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To each his own, I guess, as I completely disagree with Prodigy and Mac on this one. It doesn't matter much who the Browns have at WR. Overvaluing any offensive skill position other than the QB is a mistake you probably see more than any other here in forum land. No Plaxico last week? No problem, as the Giants have their best passing week of the season (versus opponent's averages). I could go on and on and on.

Once the Giants have the lead in this game (as the Browns are outmatched in the running game) and can set their pass rush loose Derek Anderson will not be able to make enough plays to win or cover. Giants 27 -- Browns 13

I personally bet the Gints -7 when it opened because you had to figure that line was going to rise, whether you agree with my spreadsheet lines or not.

if the game plays out as you expect early on, it wont be derek anderson you have to beat. it will be brady quinn.
 

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the browns are a complete let down this year and I dont see them getting much better...the team chemistry looks horrible...Edwards is dropping way too many balls...coaching is horrendous and the O and D line have looked suspect all season to say the least...NYG is the best team in the league and is getting no respect which boggles my mind...cleveland flat out sucks which is a huge dissappointment for me ( i dunno why I should be use to it ) they need more than a bye week to fix this trainwreck theyve got going IMO...NYG to the house
 

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