Its 6 days away and you can already smell it....Plexico is still out...
he's not out next week
I promise you there will be no let down from the Giants. National spot light they will show the whole country they are for real. They are a very good football team. I'm not saying they are a lock to cover the # I just think there is lot of betters games to hammer the man with. GL with your action.I'm not going to get into details just yet. I've been eyeing this game since the end of week 4. This is a spot where the Giants are due for a letdown, and the Browns ENTIRE season rests on this game. Coming off a bye in front of their home crowd, on Monday Night for ALL the marbles. Win and that can be the momentum needed to turn the season around, Lose and they are finished for the year.
Bottom Line wait till the line goes to 9.5 for the Giants, then Take the Cleveland Browns on the MONEY LINE$$$.
I will FULLY handicap this game and give you some TRUE INDEPTH analysis for this game later on in the week.
I wouldn't be surprised to see the Browns win, but I can easily see them screwing things up in a close game and losing by a TD.
With that said, the Giants haven't really had a tough test yet. They played the Skins before Washington started to gel....then St. Louis, Cinci and Seattle? Weak.
I love the spread here for Cleveland, definitely a strong play...ML not so sure. Probably worth a small punt for me.
win or lose, giants bettors will be betting into a grossly inflated line.
giants value has been maxed out.
cleveland very undervalued after the slow start.
true line for this game is probably 'pick' or perhaps new york (-3)
does that mean new york wont win by double digits? absolutely not. the game is decided on the field.
but cleveland caught the bye week at the right time because they desperately needed to get guys like stallworth healthy.
if cleveland wins, its not exactly an upset.
giants arent a TD better than cleveland on the road. but the line is understandable given the way the first month played out.
basically, this is a game where if the giants win by a 3-4 points, new york backers will lose a bet they would have won if the game were played a month ago. imo, its incredibly tough to justify playing new york at the current price. those laying the chalk in this game have to understand they are being taxed quite a bit for the opportunity to take the giants. sometimes, it ends up being a moot point. other times, the game falls just short of the number and thats where the inflation rears its head.
To each his own, I guess, as I completely disagree with Prodigy and Mac on this one. It doesn't matter much who the Browns have at WR. Overvaluing any offensive skill position other than the QB is a mistake you probably see more than any other here in forum land. No Plaxico last week? No problem, as the Giants have their best passing week of the season (versus opponent's averages). I could go on and on and on.
Once the Giants have the lead in this game (as the Browns are outmatched in the running game) and can set their pass rush loose Derek Anderson will not be able to make enough plays to win or cover. Giants 27 -- Browns 13
I personally bet the Gints -7 when it opened because you had to figure that line was going to rise, whether you agree with my spreadsheet lines or not.