I'm going with Cincy, not too thrilled, but cannot back Jags on the road, short week, over rated rookie QB, they have played 3 rather poor games, Cincy has played OK for three games.
All those points, they want you to take them. A small factor, I have seen, lay 6 or 6.5, take the dog, lay 7 or 7.5, I like the favorite, but I am not a trend guy nor overly focused on this kind of line approach.
Nothing big.
Unless I hear of injury issues or something... Cincy -7.5 for fun.