General, I think we may have had this conversation before.
I would rather bet vs one man's opinion, which is the opening line, rather than vs an ironed out number by all the sharp bettors.
If I have to pay a premium for this luxury, I will. If i can't beat him, I'll stop betting.
Arena lines can be very volatile, that nickel is eaten by the moves too often to wait around for a discounter like Pinny.