teams facing b2b primetime games generally do not fare very well.
NE has less time to prepare. Starting today. Cincy, well rested, had 2 weeks go prepare for this game.
NE has lost to Mia by 10
NE got a beatdown to KC
NE barely squeaked past a very very very bad Oakland team
NE beatdown Minny who was in disarray and reeling that week with the AP news....
note that in every game...the line move went against NE. Even when AP went out and the line went from 3 to 6...it went back to 3. The sharp bettors know NE is just not the same team right now and other teams smell blood in the water....
now, will Cincy come in and beat NE? They already won at Baltimore who, IMO, probably has the 3rd or 4th best HFA behind Sea and NOR and perhaps Den. Cincy has had a history of laying eggs in big games but they clearly have the better team right now. If they come in prepared and confident, they win. If Cincy has any inclination of looking past this game because they feel NE isnt competitive right now, they will lose.
Just because the public bets a team doesnt mean it will lose, but you definitely want to avoid the obvious traps in betting the NFL....I'm just not sure this is so obvious a pick