Baylor vs Iowa State 10/27/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Baylor winning 58% of simulations, and Iowa State 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Baylor commits fewer turnovers in 27% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. Iowa State wins 56% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nick Florence is averaging 309 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 79%. Steele Jantz is averaging 322 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IAST +0
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