Ball State vs Indiana 9/15/2012

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Indiana is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Ball State. Stephen Houston is projected for 45 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Ball State wins, Keith Wenning averages 1.57 TD passes vs 0.42 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.91 TDs to 0.62 interceptions. Jahwan Edwards averages 93 rushing yards and 1.26 rushing TDs when Ball State wins and 81 yards and 0.7 TDs in losses. Indiana has a 19% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND -3

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