Ball State vs Army 10/27/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Ball State winning 48% of simulations, and Army 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Ball State commits fewer turnovers in 53% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. Army wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jahwan Edwards is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Raymond Maples is averaging 113 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARMY +2.5
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