Bad Cat's National Football League Week #4 Thru Week #17 (Including Week #3 MNF)

Bad_Cat · Sep 28, 2014

A early look at a few of the opening lines for week 5 tells me the books are tightening their lines just a bit. I will take a look at the entire card as soon as all the lines are released and post any early selections that I have.

Bad_Cat · Sep 29, 2014

Thursday, 09/25/2014

NY Giants @ Washington
Bad Cat's Game Selection: NY Giants +3.5, -110 WIN 45-14

Sunday, 09/28/2014

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Tampa Bay +8, -110 WIN 27-24

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Minnesota +5.5, -110 WIN 41-28

Monday, 09/29/2014

New England @ Kansas City
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Kansas City +4, -110
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Kansas City ML +165

TheComputerGroup · Sep 29, 2014

I jumped on Cards +8 as soon as it came out........IMO, they have a great shot at beating Denver SU, but will gladly take the points. Its down to +7 now

Bad_Cat · Sep 29, 2014

The Computer Group said:
I jumped on Cards +8 as soon as it came out........IMO, they have a great shot at beating Denver SU, but will gladly take the points. Its down to +7 now

Yeah, I don't personally like the opening number. My projected line is -8 so I don't see much value but GL to you.

Bad_Cat · Sep 29, 2014

WEEK #4: 3-0 (2 PENDING)

Monday, 09/29/2014

New England @ Kansas City
Bad Cat's Projected Line: Kansas City -1
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Kansas City +4, -110
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Kansas City ML +165

WEEK #5

Sunday, 10/05/2014

Atlanta @ NY Giants
Bad Cat's Projected Line: PK
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Atlanta +4.5, -110

Bad_Cat · Sep 29, 2014

I made a mistake with the above selection and I asked the mods to change it. The play is Atlanta +4.5, -110

ibex · Sep 29, 2014

Bad Cat. I take it you don't bet the Leaning Picks? They dissappeared off your card

TheComputerGroup · Sep 29, 2014

If your projected line is a Pk in the Giants game, shouldnt you be on the Falcons?

Bad_Cat · Sep 29, 2014

Sorry but my posts are delayed so I am waiting on the mods to fix post #45. Sorry for the confusion and mistake with typing the post.

Bad_Cat · Sep 29, 2014

CORRECTED POST. POST #45 MISTAKINGLY ADDED THE NY GIANTS AS A SELECTION BUT RATHER ATLANTA IS THE SELECTION. I ASKED THE MODS TO MAKE THE CHANGE AND AM WAITING FOR THEM TO EDIT THE POST. BELOW IS THE ACCURATE SELECTION.

WEEK #4: 3-0 (2 PENDING)

Monday, 09/29/2014

New England @ Kansas City
Bad Cat's Projected Line: Kansas City -1
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Kansas City +4, -110
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Kansas City ML +165

WEEK #5

Sunday, 10/05/2014

Atlanta @ NY Giants
Bad Cat's Projected Line: PK
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Atlanta +4.5, -110

Bad_Cat · Sep 29, 2014

ibex said:
Bad Cat. I take it you don't bet the Leaning Picks? They dissappeared off your card

A LEAN is just that, a LEAN. A SELECTION is a play. I thought that would be obvious. My leans are not plays unless I get more value in the line but I listed them because they are within range if the line moves in my favor just a little. I won't post them anymore to avoid confusion. They were removed from my card before the games started because with the line where it was at they were eliminated as leans and possible plays.

Betallsports · Sep 29, 2014

Bad_Cat said:
I made a mistake with the above selection and I asked the mods to change it. The play is Atlanta +4.5, -110

fixed

Betallsports · Sep 29, 2014

Bad_Cat said:
Sorry but my posts are delayed so I am waiting on the mods to fix post #45. Sorry for the confusion and mistake with typing the post.

Giving you a chance.... You're doing a good job here, and keeping all your plays in one thread.

Don't let me down.

Bad_Cat · Sep 30, 2014

Betallsports said:
fixed

Thanks Betall I appreciate it.

Bad_Cat · Sep 30, 2014

Betallsports said:
Giving you a chance.... You're doing a good job here, and keeping all your plays in one thread.

Don't let me down.

Sounds good, thanks.

Bad_Cat · Sep 30, 2014

WEEK #4: 5-0, +5.65 units

WEEK #5

Sunday, 10/05/2014

Atlanta @ NY Giants
Bad Cat's Projected Line: PK
Bad Cat's Game Selection: Atlanta +4.5, -110

ibex · Sep 30, 2014

BC, I'd be curious what your projections are saying about the Cincy NE game. I'm guessing there will be some crazy action on that game all week. Opened for me as a PK.

Bad_Cat · Sep 30, 2014

ibex said:
BC, I'd be curious what your projections are saying about the Cincy NE game. I'm guessing there will be some crazy action on that game all week. Opened for me as a PK.

Cincinnati @ New England
Bad Cat's Projected Line: New England -3 to -4

One of my projected lines has the Patriots at -3 and the other at the Patriots at -4. Based on the current odds, unless they change drastically, the Patriots are very close to a selection for me and as of now they are a very strong lean. I will wait until the line settles just a bit and is opened by all of the books before I make a decision on that particular game.

ibex · Sep 30, 2014

Bad_Cat said:
Cincinnati @ New England
Bad Cat's Projected Line: New England -3 to -4

One of my projected lines has the Patriots at -3 and the other at the Patriots at -4. Based on the current odds, unless they change drastically, the Patriots are very close to a selection for me and as of now they are a very strong lean. I will wait until the line settles just a bit and is opened by all of the books before I make a decision on that particular game.

I bet it moves slightly toward Cincy based on the over-reaction to that Monday night game but NE such a pub favorite it could go the other way. Will be interesting to watch.

Bad_Cat · Sep 30, 2014

Just a small bit of info regarding my week #4 plays. I posted 4 ATS selections (+3.5, +4, +5.5 & +8) and 1 ML selection. All 4 ATS selections covered the line but they also won the game SU. This is something I will have to look into further if it continues on a regular basis. To be honest I was very confident with my selections that I posted but was quite surprised that they all won the game outright. GL this week.