Sharing a MLB win % probability betting method (listed in parenthesis with each bet) that I've been working on for a few months.
I tracked these for a month or so and started wagering them in August. There were no qualifiers Aug 1st, 2nd & 5th. Aug 3rd, 4th & 6th (2-1, +0.22 units) I didn't post anywhere. Aug 7th, 8th & 9th (3-0, +3.0 units) are posted at the other forum that I frequent.
I have somewhat of an idea which side and/or total I'll bet about an hr before start time but I don't actually bet until closer to 1st pitch so at any time you decide to follow along you may want to subscribe to the post.
I've noticed there's some sides have higher juice but with the very small sample size thus far there hasn't been much difference in betting the ML vs the -1.5 RL. I may be able to determine which is better with a larger sample size. If you have a book that has a -1 RL that may be beneficial to you with the larger favorites.
Rarely is there more than 1 qualifier on a single day but it does happen. Less is more in my opinion. MLB is a very tough sport to win consistently but I like what I see from this so far. I'll continue for the remainder of the season.
I tracked these for a month or so and started wagering them in August. There were no qualifiers Aug 1st, 2nd & 5th. Aug 3rd, 4th & 6th (2-1, +0.22 units) I didn't post anywhere. Aug 7th, 8th & 9th (3-0, +3.0 units) are posted at the other forum that I frequent.
I have somewhat of an idea which side and/or total I'll bet about an hr before start time but I don't actually bet until closer to 1st pitch so at any time you decide to follow along you may want to subscribe to the post.
I've noticed there's some sides have higher juice but with the very small sample size thus far there hasn't been much difference in betting the ML vs the -1.5 RL. I may be able to determine which is better with a larger sample size. If you have a book that has a -1 RL that may be beneficial to you with the larger favorites.
Rarely is there more than 1 qualifier on a single day but it does happen. Less is more in my opinion. MLB is a very tough sport to win consistently but I like what I see from this so far. I'll continue for the remainder of the season.
