Auburn vs Alabama 11/24/2012

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 98% of simulations over Auburn. AJ McCarron is averaging 242 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and T.J. Yeldon is projected for 90 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 2% of simulations where Auburn wins, Jonathan Wallace averages 0.85 TD passes vs 0.42 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.29 TDs to 0.65 interceptions. Tre Mason averages 58 rushing yards and 0.32 rushing TDs when Auburn wins and 49 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 32% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -31
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