ATLSLIM'S Motor City Bowl Total of the Year

Search

New member
Joined
Dec 26, 2008
Messages
85
Tokens
I'm in on the under with 71. I was hoping it would be pushed up to 72, but it appears to have settled right now. There has been little movement over the last half hour.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 17, 2004
Messages
3,109
Tokens
Good luck to all of you, thanks!! I have :

Fla. Atl./C. Mich. Under 70 (3 units)
Fla. Atl./C. Mich. Under 68.5 (2units)
C. Mich. -7 (-120) (2 units)


Crush the books!!!!! ATLSLIM
 
Joined
Mar 9, 2007
Messages
14,157
Tokens
Good luck to all of you, thanks!! I have :

Fla. Atl./C. Mich. Under 70 (3 units)
Fla. Atl./C. Mich. Under 68.5 (2units)
C. Mich. -7 (-120) (2 units)


Crush the books!!!!! ATLSLIM

Why would you cancel out 2/5th's of a TOY? That is bad betting.
 

UF. Champion U.
Joined
Nov 2, 2004
Messages
12,281
Tokens
MREAST -

There is a fundamental difference between being able to have some success running the ball, and dominating on the ground. Looking at top 5 rushing teams will easily be over teams every year, because top 5 rushing teams are usually offensive forces. If you run or pass the ball well enough to be a top 5 team, you are usually an outstanding offense that is moving the football and will obviously result in overs.

When you are a top 5 team in rushing, you usually have the natural ability to pummel your opponents on the ground, wear down a defense and easily go over the total by the end of the game against a tired defense.

What I am saying, and forgive me for not elaborating into a full writeup everytime I make a blanket statement, (over time it gets a little monotonous and potentially sounds condescending to put a full on lesson and writeup everytime I say a blanket statement), but when both teams have marginal success running the ball, then you will see these teams air it out a ton. Obviously the clock runs after completions. This is the basics of football. But the clock stops after incompletions, and usually more yards and chewed up through the air, in addition to resulting in game changing plays such as sack/fumbles, INTs, etc which also heavily effect the scoreboard.

You also failed to read the entire sentence: "I could see this game turning into an under fest if one of these teams could run the ball, grind out some clock and play a little D, that is an overs worst nightmare".

"AND PLAY A LITTLE D" was a big part to that equation.

I really dont want to get into a full totals discussion right now, but my blanket statement was overanalyzed and I wanted to say my piece in defense of it.

GL whatever you chose.
 

New member
Joined
Mar 5, 2005
Messages
585
Tokens
Myself the local said he had no o/u on this game. I said its the best o/U I seen all year . Gave me the under at 69.5
 

Member
Joined
Oct 17, 2004
Messages
3,109
Tokens
Mr. Red Elephants, I don't quite follow. I have 2 books here in Atlanta, I loved 68.5 this morning, but wanted to wait until later as the total did rise. Then when it got to 70, I put 3 more units on the Under. Maybe I am missing a very apparent point. How did I cancel it when adding to it?
Why would you cancel out 2/5th's of a TOY? That is bad betting.
 

I don't read the script. The script reads me.
Joined
Apr 22, 2008
Messages
144
Tokens
Mr. Red Elephants, I don't quite follow. I have 2 books here in Atlanta, I loved 68.5 this morning, but wanted to wait until later as the total did rise. Then when it got to 70, I put 3 more units on the Under. Maybe I am missing a very apparent point. How did I cancel it when adding to it?

I believe he's saying that by betting on CMU -7 (which he thought would be a losing play) was taking two units away from your five unit total of the year win.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 16, 2008
Messages
834
Tokens
Under 1st Half, Under for the game

Florida ATL for the game, Florida ATL 2nd half
 

New member
Joined
Oct 16, 2008
Messages
834
Tokens
Thanks to the public for pushing othe OU up to 70, was about to fall into the trap of betting over...
 
Joined
Mar 9, 2007
Messages
14,157
Tokens
Mr. Red Elephants, I don't quite follow. I have 2 books here in Atlanta, I loved 68.5 this morning, but wanted to wait until later as the total did rise. Then when it got to 70, I put 3 more units on the Under. Maybe I am missing a very apparent point. How did I cancel it when adding to it?


You must admit it is quite difficult to hit both side and total. Yes, I did clearly play FAU, but who I played is irrelevant.

You canceled out 2/5ths of a TOY by playing a team. Whether it was FAU or CMU doesn't matter. I think its nuts to lose 40% of your cash on a TOY by playing the team in the same game.

Congrats on the win anyways.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Mar 29, 2005
Messages
2,488
Tokens
great hit man ..... under was clearly the play ..... looking foward to what you got next for us :103631605
 

New member
Joined
Dec 16, 2007
Messages
483
Tokens
Great call ATLSLIM!....appreciate your insights insight and wish you would post your plays more often..
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,803
Messages
13,573,316
Members
100,871
Latest member
Legend813
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com