#633 Kentucky 151.5 vs. #634 LSU -2.5
?Kentucky won four in row, 12 of last 14 games; they’re 10-2 in SEC, 5-2 on road, losing at So Carolina/Auburn. Wildcats allowed only 63.3 ppg in last three games; they’ve got #12 eFG% defense in country. LSU lost three of last four games after starting out 8-0 in SEC; Tigers are 9-3 in SEC, winning all six home games, but covering only one of them. Kentucky won six of last eight games with LSU; teams split last four meetings here. Tigers (+9) won 73-71 in Rupp Arena LY. SEC home favorites of 3 or fewer points are 5-9 ATS.
The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the high-powered offense of LSU (ninth in the country with an offensive efficiency of 113.7) takes on the stingy defense of Kentucky (57th in the NCAA with a defensive efficiency of 94.8). Additionally, the Wildcats rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.340), while the Tigers rank 34th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.174).
The Tigers are the favorite in this game, but I am not sure how to trust them with what they did in their last game. In the Tigers’ last contest they gave up 88 points to a mediocre Alabama team which led to a loss. I don’t love the Wildcats, but there is no way you can trust the Tigers right now.
Assassins Bonus Play> Kentucky+3 (-117) over LSU...
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