Arsenal- porto==> DRAW -170

[DonMelchor]

that's crazy, There should be some value in that game, what you guys think:WTF:

 

[Soprano]

Both teams need a draw to advance!!!

 

[MrCleo]

my book has Draw at -138, but no listed OU. i would pound the under but i guess the books know this as well....

 

[livinalie]

Im on under 1.75 +100 at pinny.

 

[MrCleo]

no OU listed at wagerweb or betmania...but I was looking for the familiar 2.5 total anyway. GL

 

[DonMelchor]

I've got 2u 45, not bad I think.... I'm almost sure this game wont end a tie...:think2:

 

[Duckstabber]

The draw is -126 at Betfair - no draw: +125

 

[DonMelchor]

the no draw looks pretty tempting...

 

[LarryTalbot]

This is crazy. Very rarely do you see odds like those for a draw and 9 times out of 10, the game does end up being tied.

 

[MarkieMark+]

NO DRAW is currently +116 at Pinnacle.

That's where my money will be.

MM

 

[MarkieMark+]

The DRAW will see both Arsenal and Porto advance ONLY if CSKA Moscow does not win.

If CSKA Moscow beat Hamburg AND Arsenal vs. Porto ends in a DRAW, Porto and CSKA will advance.

NO DRAW is the way to go.

 

[rolltide]

The DRAW will see both Arsenal and Porto advance ONLY if CSKA Moscow does not win.

If CSKA Moscow beat Hamburg AND Arsenal vs. Porto ends in a DRAW, Porto and CSKA will advance.

NO DRAW is the way to go.

INCORRECT

If Porto draw with Arsenal and CSKA win, all three teams will have 11 points and the Russians will be eliminated by virtue of a worst goal difference in matches among the three.

 

[joeyfitzclick]

CSKA would have to win 5-0.

 

[MarkieMark+]

CSKA would have to win 5-0.

I thought Head to Head match-ups counted before goal differential.

Arsenal lost 1-0 to CSKA in Russia and could only manage a 0-0 Draw in London.

 

[trytrytry]

over the years Ive seen a draw at minus numbers 3 times....each time the game was a draw.

Im playing this draw with confidense!

 

[rolltide]

folks, CSKA's winning differential in Hamburg has NOTHING to do with the scenario. The tiebreaker b/w three teams on even points is the h2h goal differential b/w those teams.

so if Porto/Gunners draw:

CSKA -1
Arsenal +1
Porto +0

 

[LarryTalbot]

I have to agree with trytrytry here. I've seen this line before in the Italy Serie A and the games ended up in a draw. Books know better than to highly juice a draw unless it has near 90% chance of hitting.

 

[joeyfitzclick]

I'm not sure why but I confirm both sides are through if the game finishes tied regardless of Moscows game.

 

[Antonioli]

I have to agree with trytrytry here. I've seen this line before in the Italy Serie A and the games ended up in a draw. Books know better than to highly juice a draw unless it has near 90% chance of hitting.

90% seems a little high

 

[Antonioli]

Next round of matches: Wednesday 6 December
Hamburg v CSKA Moscow
Porto v Arsenal
<!-- S IBOX --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=208 align=right border=0><TBODY><TR><TD width=5>

</TD><TD class=sibtbgf>Arsenal .......Pts 10 F7 A3
Porto ...........Pts 10 F9 A4
CSKA ...........Pts 8 F2 A2
Hamburg .....Pts 0 F4 A13

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- E IBOX -->
The competition's complicated count-back rules may come into play in this tightest of groups if the top three finish level on points. CSKA must win in Hamburg but will not go through if the game in Porto ends level. Arsenal and Porto would qualify in the 'mini-table' of results of games involving the trio.