Army vs Southern Methodist 12/30/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Army winning 43% of simulations, and Southern Methodist 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Army commits fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Southern Methodist wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jared Hassin is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. Kyle Padron is averaging 263 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMETH -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 52.5

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