Arkansas vs Ohio State 1/4/2011

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Ohio State is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Arkansas. Dan Herron is projected for 96 rushing yards and a 62% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Arkansas wins, Ryan Mallett averages 2.16 TD passes vs 0.86 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.08 TDs to 1.23 interceptions. Broderick Green averages 61 rushing yards and 0.66 rushing TDs when Arkansas wins and 48 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 26% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OHST -3 --- Over/Under line is 57.5

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