Arkansas vs Mississippi State 11/20/2010

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Arkansas is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat Mississippi State. Broderick Green is projected for 57 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where Mississippi State wins, Chris Relf averages 1.06 TD passes vs 0.75 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.57 TDs to 0.94 interceptions. Vick Ballard averages 88 rushing yards and 1.26 rushing TDs when Mississippi State wins and 74 yards and 0.62 TDs in losses. Arkansas has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST +3.5

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