Arkansas State vs North Texas 11/3/2012

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Arkansas State is a solid favorite with a 66% chance to beat North Texas. David Oku is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where North Texas wins, Derek Thompson averages 2.41 TD passes vs 0.68 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.26 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Brandin Byrd averages 88 rushing yards and 0.68 rushing TDs when North Texas wins and 76 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Arkansas State has a 34% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NTEX +3
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