Arizona vs Oregon 9/22/2012

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over Arizona. Marcus Mariota is averaging 265 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Kenjon Barner is projected for 84 rushing yards and a 77% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where Arizona wins, Matt Scott averages 2.65 TD passes vs 0.49 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.4 TDs to 0.9 interceptions. Ka\'Deem Carey averages 77 rushing yards and 0.94 rushing TDs when Arizona wins and 65 yards and 0.45 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OR -26.5

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