Arizona vs Oregon 11/26/2010

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Arizona. Darron Thomas is averaging 204 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and LaMichael James is projected for 140 rushing yards and a 82% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Arizona wins, Nick Foles averages 1.85 TD passes vs 0.68 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.83 TDs to 0.95 interceptions. Keola Antolin averages 67 rushing yards and 0.64 rushing TDs when Arizona wins and 56 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 39% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OR -17.5

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