Arizona State vs Oregon State 11/3/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arizona State winning 52% of simulations, and Oregon State 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arizona State commits fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. Oregon State wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Taylor Kelly is averaging 289 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Storm Woods is averaging 80 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ORST -3.5
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