Arizona State vs Arizona 11/23/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arizona State winning 45% of simulations, and Arizona 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arizona State commits fewer turnovers in 52% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Arizona wins 73% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Taylor Kelly is averaging 318 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Matt Scott is averaging 301 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARI -3
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