Alabama vs Tennessee 10/20/2012

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 93% of simulations over Tennessee. AJ McCarron is averaging 210 passing yards and 1.61 TDs per simulation and Eddie Lacy is projected for 89 rushing yards and a 68% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 7% of simulations where Tennessee wins, Tyler Bray averages 1.52 TD passes vs 0.91 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.64 TDs to 1.07 interceptions. Rajion Neal averages 72 rushing yards and 0.46 rushing TDs when Tennessee wins and 59 yards and 0.23 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEN +19.5

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