I'm not crazy about betting on OU the week before Texas. And you also have to be careful about betting against Big 12 teams that are not only playing their first conference game, but also making their first road trip. Coaches usually put a lot of preparation into these first games. They all know it's important to get off to a good start in a round robin format. And WV has enough talent to give OU problems. Especially on the defensive side of the ball. They should have a pretty good idea of what OU's offense is about by that 4th game.
Alabama Game 3 Summary - Ole Miss
Date: September 12
Time: 8:15 p.m.
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium (101,821)
TV: ESPN
Coach: Hugh Freeze (24-15 in 3 years at Ole Miss, 54-22 overall)
2014 Record: 9-4, 5-3 SEC (3rd in West)
Series History: Alabama leads 47-10-2; Ole Miss won 23-17 in 2014
2014 Ranking/Game (National/SEC)
Scoring Offense: 28.3 (70th/7th)
Total Offense: 419.1 (54th/7th)
Scoring Defense: 16.0 (1st/1st)
Total Defense: 329.0 (108th/4th)
Returning Starters: 18 (9 offense, 7 defense, 2 special teams)
Returning Leaders:
Passing: QB DeVante Kincade, 16 of 20 for 127 yards and 1 TD
Rushing: RB Jaylen Walton, 106 for 586 yards and 5 TDs
Receiving: TE Evan Engram, 38 for 662 and 2 TDs (17.4 average) WR Laquon
Treadwell, 38 for 662 and 5 TDs (13.1 average)
Tackles: CB Mike Hilton 71, DB Tony Conner 69
Tackles for Loss: DB Tony Conner 9, DL Marquis Hayes 9
Sacks: DL Marquis Hayes 7.5, DL C.J. Johnson 4
Interceptions: CB Mike Hilton 3
Key Concern: Quarterback
Sidenote: Much like Alabama, Ole Miss enters the season with a very unsettled situation under center. Although 9 of 11 starters return, the most glaring of the two departures is at quarterback, where there are three players trying to win the job. Among those in the running are junior transfer and former Clemson quarterback Chad Kelly, and sophomores Ryan Buchanan and DeVante Kincade. Much like Alabama's Jake Coker last season, Kelly is the relative fan favorite to win the job but Buchanan and Kincade have each shown their talent within Freeze's up-tempo system. By week 3, both Alabama and Ole Miss should have their starting quarterbacks in place, and this could be a potential breakout performance for whoever wins the jobs as both teams fight for an early stake in the SEC West.
Date: September 12
Time: 8:15 p.m.
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium (101,821)
TV: ESPN
Coach: Hugh Freeze (24-15 in 3 years at Ole Miss, 54-22 overall)
2014 Record: 9-4, 5-3 SEC (3rd in West)
Series History: Alabama leads 47-10-2; Ole Miss won 23-17 in 2014
2014 Ranking/Game (National/SEC)
Scoring Offense: 28.3 (70th/7th)
Total Offense: 419.1 (54th/7th)
Scoring Defense: 16.0 (1st/1st)
Total Defense: 329.0 (108th/4th)
Returning Starters: 18 (9 offense, 7 defense, 2 special teams)
Returning Leaders:
Passing: QB DeVante Kincade, 16 of 20 for 127 yards and 1 TD
Rushing: RB Jaylen Walton, 106 for 586 yards and 5 TDs
Receiving: TE Evan Engram, 38 for 662 and 2 TDs (17.4 average) WR Laquon
Treadwell, 38 for 662 and 5 TDs (13.1 average)
Tackles: CB Mike Hilton 71, DB Tony Conner 69
Tackles for Loss: DB Tony Conner 9, DL Marquis Hayes 9
Sacks: DL Marquis Hayes 7.5, DL C.J. Johnson 4
Interceptions: CB Mike Hilton 3
Key Concern: Quarterback
Sidenote: Much like Alabama, Ole Miss enters the season with a very unsettled situation under center. Although 9 of 11 starters return, the most glaring of the two departures is at quarterback, where there are three players trying to win the job. Among those in the running are junior transfer and former Clemson quarterback Chad Kelly, and sophomores Ryan Buchanan and DeVante Kincade. Much like Alabama's Jake Coker last season, Kelly is the relative fan favorite to win the job but Buchanan and Kincade have each shown their talent within Freeze's up-tempo system. By week 3, both Alabama and Ole Miss should have their starting quarterbacks in place, and this could be a potential breakout performance for whoever wins the jobs as both teams fight for an early stake in the SEC West.
I agree that its a good point to be careful with these experience charts when we are talking about the top recruiting teams in the country. I know the recruiting rankings are built into the power ratings, but still it would probably be a good idea to compile a chart with pure recruiting rankings as well, say over the last 4 years. I was looking for a way to dig a little deeper into the returning starters so that's why this experience chart got my interest. Easy to work with since its just a single composite number, maybe focus on games where the experience factor has around a 2 standard deviation difference between the teams in the first month of the season? Provided of course they are not one of the top recruiting teams in FBS.
Alabama Game 4 Summary - Louisiana-Monroe
Date: September 26
Time: TBA
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium (101,821)
Coach: Todd Berry (56-93 overall, 27-34 5 years at ULM)
2014 Record: 4-8, 3-5 Sun Belt (tied for 7th)
Series History: ULM leads Alabama 1-0; won 21-14 in 2007
2014 Rankings/Game (National/Sun Belt)
Scoring Offense: 20.1 (115th/11th)
Total Offense: 349.4 (109th/11th)
Scoring Defense: 26.3 (58th/3rd)
Total Defense: 373.3 (48th/2nd)
Returning Starters: 17 (6 offense, 7 defense, 4 special teams)
Returning Leaders:
Passing: QB Brayle Brown (14 of 24 for 172 yards and 1 TD)
Rushing: WR Tyler Cain (62 for 214 yards and 0 TD)
Receiving: WR Rashon Ceasar, 77 for 872 yards and 3 TDs)
Tackles: DL Gerrand Johnson 93; S Mitch Lane 91
Tackles for Loss: LB Michael Johnson 16
Sacks: Michael Johnson 8; Gerrand Johnson 6
Interceptions: S Mitch Lane 3; Hunter Kissinger 2
Key Concern: The Warhawks must replace more than 4,700 yards of offense from last season,
including the team's top passer, rusher and second leading receiver.
Sidenote: ULM has a long history of being an SEC punching bag, playing 18 teams from the league
in the past decade, losing 40 of 45 games against the conference all-time. ULM has been able to
pull off the occasional surprise upset, including in 2007 with a 21-14 win over Alabama in Saban's
first season. That's the only previous meeting between the two programs. Louisiana-Monroe will
receive well over $1 million for the game.
Date: September 26
Time: TBA
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium (101,821)
Coach: Todd Berry (56-93 overall, 27-34 5 years at ULM)
2014 Record: 4-8, 3-5 Sun Belt (tied for 7th)
Series History: ULM leads Alabama 1-0; won 21-14 in 2007
2014 Rankings/Game (National/Sun Belt)
Scoring Offense: 20.1 (115th/11th)
Total Offense: 349.4 (109th/11th)
Scoring Defense: 26.3 (58th/3rd)
Total Defense: 373.3 (48th/2nd)
Returning Starters: 17 (6 offense, 7 defense, 4 special teams)
Returning Leaders:
Passing: QB Brayle Brown (14 of 24 for 172 yards and 1 TD)
Rushing: WR Tyler Cain (62 for 214 yards and 0 TD)
Receiving: WR Rashon Ceasar, 77 for 872 yards and 3 TDs)
Tackles: DL Gerrand Johnson 93; S Mitch Lane 91
Tackles for Loss: LB Michael Johnson 16
Sacks: Michael Johnson 8; Gerrand Johnson 6
Interceptions: S Mitch Lane 3; Hunter Kissinger 2
Key Concern: The Warhawks must replace more than 4,700 yards of offense from last season,
including the team's top passer, rusher and second leading receiver.
Sidenote: ULM has a long history of being an SEC punching bag, playing 18 teams from the league
in the past decade, losing 40 of 45 games against the conference all-time. ULM has been able to
pull off the occasional surprise upset, including in 2007 with a 21-14 win over Alabama in Saban's
first season. That's the only previous meeting between the two programs. Louisiana-Monroe will
receive well over $1 million for the game.
Alabama Game 5 Summary - Georgia
Date: October 3
Time: TBA
Location: Sanford Stadium (92,746)
TV: TBA
Coach: Mark Richt (136-48 14 years Georgia)
2014 Record: 10-3
Series History: Alabama leads 37-25-4 (Won 32-28 2012)
2014 Rankings/Game (National/SEC)
Scoring Offense: 41.3 (8th/1st)
Total Offense: 457.8 (30th/4th)
Scoring Defense: 20.7 (16th/5th)
Total Defense: 337.2 (17th/6th)
Returning Starters: 16 (7 offense, 6 defense, 3 special teams)
Returning Leaders:
Passing: QB Brice Ramsey (24 of 39 for 333 yards and 3 TDs, 2 Ints)
Rushing: RB Nick Chubb (219 for 1,547 yards and 14 TDs)
Receiving: WR Malcolm Mitchell (31 for 248 yards and 3 TDs
Tackles: LB Jordan Jenkins 70; LB Leonard Floyd 55
Tackles for Loss: Jordan Jenkins 9.5; LB Leonard Floyd 8.5
Sacks: LB Leonard Floyd 6; LB Jordan Jenkins 5
Interceptions: DB Quincy Mauger 4; DB Dominick Sanders 3
Key Concern: Quarterback
Sidenote: Despite their storied histories, Alabama and Georgia have met on the gridiron only 15 times in the past
42 years, including just five times since 2002. Georgia and Alabama are the preseason picks to win their respective
divisions, so Alabama's Week 5 game in Athens could be a preview of the SEC's title game matchup.
Date: October 3
Time: TBA
Location: Sanford Stadium (92,746)
TV: TBA
Coach: Mark Richt (136-48 14 years Georgia)
2014 Record: 10-3
Series History: Alabama leads 37-25-4 (Won 32-28 2012)
2014 Rankings/Game (National/SEC)
Scoring Offense: 41.3 (8th/1st)
Total Offense: 457.8 (30th/4th)
Scoring Defense: 20.7 (16th/5th)
Total Defense: 337.2 (17th/6th)
Returning Starters: 16 (7 offense, 6 defense, 3 special teams)
Returning Leaders:
Passing: QB Brice Ramsey (24 of 39 for 333 yards and 3 TDs, 2 Ints)
Rushing: RB Nick Chubb (219 for 1,547 yards and 14 TDs)
Receiving: WR Malcolm Mitchell (31 for 248 yards and 3 TDs
Tackles: LB Jordan Jenkins 70; LB Leonard Floyd 55
Tackles for Loss: Jordan Jenkins 9.5; LB Leonard Floyd 8.5
Sacks: LB Leonard Floyd 6; LB Jordan Jenkins 5
Interceptions: DB Quincy Mauger 4; DB Dominick Sanders 3
Key Concern: Quarterback
Sidenote: Despite their storied histories, Alabama and Georgia have met on the gridiron only 15 times in the past
42 years, including just five times since 2002. Georgia and Alabama are the preseason picks to win their respective
divisions, so Alabama's Week 5 game in Athens could be a preview of the SEC's title game matchup.
**Bet you didn't know......
Texas A&M had only two players selected in this year's NFL Draft, the same number
as Texas State.
TCU just may face the softest schedule of all Big 12 teams this year with opponents
combining for a 74-78 record last season.
Pittsburgh's 2014 roster featured 81 underclassmen (53 freshmen & 28 sophomores),
highest of any FBS Team.
New Oregon State coach Gary Anderson is 19-6 ATS in his career versus non-conference
opponents, including 10-1-1 ATS away.
Idaho has lost 26 of its last 27 away games, including 22 losses in a row. Third year coach
Paul Petrino enters his third season with a 2-21 record (7-14-1 ATS). Yes, he's motorcycle
boy's brother.
Texas A&M had only two players selected in this year's NFL Draft, the same number
as Texas State.
TCU just may face the softest schedule of all Big 12 teams this year with opponents
combining for a 74-78 record last season.
Pittsburgh's 2014 roster featured 81 underclassmen (53 freshmen & 28 sophomores),
highest of any FBS Team.
New Oregon State coach Gary Anderson is 19-6 ATS in his career versus non-conference
opponents, including 10-1-1 ATS away.
Idaho has lost 26 of its last 27 away games, including 22 losses in a row. Third year coach
Paul Petrino enters his third season with a 2-21 record (7-14-1 ATS). Yes, he's motorcycle
boy's brother.
For What It's Worth.........
TCU ranks 5th among FBS schools in winning percentage (.763) since 2000. The Horned Frogs have won 10 or
more games nine times under Gary Patterson.
Virginia Tech enjoyed both winning seasons and bowl games 22 consecutive years dating back to 1993. Only
22-17 last three years. 2015 should get the Hokies back on track.
Oregon coach Mark Helfrich is 24-4 in his first two seasons, good for an FBS best (.857) winning percentage
among active coaches.
Georgia is tied with Utah with 10 bowl wins since 2000, most of any school in the FBS. The Dawgs have
also sent 87 players to the NFL since the 2001 Draft, most of any SEC schools.
Miami has sent an FBS best 27 first round picks to the NFL since the 2001 Draft, including two players
in 2015.
LSU has the fourth best winning percentage among FBS schools since 2000 with a 151-45 record. Tops
among SEC schools.
Oklahoma has produced the most 'consensus' All-Americans since 2000 with 23. The Sooners are 8-7
in bowl games since 2000.
Under Nick Saban, Alabama has had 17 first-round picks in the NFL Draft. Saban is 91-17 since coming
to the Tide. Six of the losses came in the first year (2007).
Ohio State is 8-7 in postseason games since 2000, but nobody's complaining after last year.
TCU ranks 5th among FBS schools in winning percentage (.763) since 2000. The Horned Frogs have won 10 or
more games nine times under Gary Patterson.
Virginia Tech enjoyed both winning seasons and bowl games 22 consecutive years dating back to 1993. Only
22-17 last three years. 2015 should get the Hokies back on track.
Oregon coach Mark Helfrich is 24-4 in his first two seasons, good for an FBS best (.857) winning percentage
among active coaches.
Georgia is tied with Utah with 10 bowl wins since 2000, most of any school in the FBS. The Dawgs have
also sent 87 players to the NFL since the 2001 Draft, most of any SEC schools.
Miami has sent an FBS best 27 first round picks to the NFL since the 2001 Draft, including two players
in 2015.
LSU has the fourth best winning percentage among FBS schools since 2000 with a 151-45 record. Tops
among SEC schools.
Oklahoma has produced the most 'consensus' All-Americans since 2000 with 23. The Sooners are 8-7
in bowl games since 2000.
Under Nick Saban, Alabama has had 17 first-round picks in the NFL Draft. Saban is 91-17 since coming
to the Tide. Six of the losses came in the first year (2007).
Ohio State is 8-7 in postseason games since 2000, but nobody's complaining after last year.
TCU basically faces the same schedule as everybody else in the Big 12 since it's a round robin conference. The only team that faces a tougher schedule than TCU is Texas, who has to play two Power 5 schools for their out of conference games. TCU does have it a little harder than last year because their road games are tougher this year...
Season Winners (55%)
If you are satisfied with a 55 plus percentage season winners...I'd take note. It only takes 52.38% winners to beat the spread. Sounds easy but it AIN'T.
If you will play against these five teams every game for the entire season I will almost guarantee you 55% on the season. This system has hit 55 plus the last five years. (Someone mark this post for an end of the season chastising if I'm wrong). If anyone wants to bet me $500 I'm wrong...I'll take the first four challengers.
South Alabama
Central Michigan
UTSA
Buffalo
Mississippi State
If you are satisfied with a 55 plus percentage season winners...I'd take note. It only takes 52.38% winners to beat the spread. Sounds easy but it AIN'T.
If you will play against these five teams every game for the entire season I will almost guarantee you 55% on the season. This system has hit 55 plus the last five years. (Someone mark this post for an end of the season chastising if I'm wrong). If anyone wants to bet me $500 I'm wrong...I'll take the first four challengers.
South Alabama
Central Michigan
UTSA
Buffalo
Mississippi State
Sooners my friend (and I like you (good guy) especially for all the good work you do here at RX) ain't none of your Goddamn business. I stated what I would do if anyone disagreed. $500 to the first four who want to go the other way. Called GAMBLING....I'm an old country boy but I'm smart enough to know what I risk. I've posted...its out there until August 15th...I'm not saying anything else unless there are some serious money challenges.
I'll take your $500 55% challenge, clover. going by closing lines at sportsdatabase.com I'll say when you add up those 5 teams' ATS records at the end of the regular season they will >=45.00%. check or pay-pal by Dec 15 is fine with me 
anyone else?
I wrote a quick script for it so easy to keep track:
http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...+team=CMCH+or+team=SALA)&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++
anyone else?
I wrote a quick script for it so easy to keep track:
http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...+team=CMCH+or+team=SALA)&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++
season = 2015 and (team = MSST or team = BUF or team = UTSA or team = CMCH or team = SALA)
Great, should be fun. You are betting on South Alabama, Central Michigan, UTSA, Buffalo and Mississippi State for every lined game of the regular season. I'm playing the opponent each week.
Lines will be from final line at ScoresandOdds for each team. Easy reference and posted for the entire year.
Money, we can have someone hold the $500 or trust each other. Makes no difference to me.
We might just keep a year long thread on the wager. Thanks Bud!
Lines will be from final line at ScoresandOdds for each team. Easy reference and posted for the entire year.
Money, we can have someone hold the $500 or trust each other. Makes no difference to me.
We might just keep a year long thread on the wager. Thanks Bud!
just use the lines from sportsdatabase (uses the closing line most widely available at online books). the script is written and will track everything for us. I know you old southern boys don't like technology but in this case it's the easiest way
http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaafb/qu...+team=CMCH+or+team=SALA)&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++
i'm good for the 5 ... if you prefer to pay now and have someone hold it that is fine too. just let me know
I have UTSA, SoBama, CMU, Buff, Miss St to hit at least 45.00% ATS through the regular season....no championship games or bowls. Assuming all 5 teams play 12 games I need to go 27-33 ATS to win the bet.
Bet is (ON) even though it has just been pointed out to me I posted the wrong list. Three teams the same so my mistake. A bet is a bet.
Line will be final posted at ScoresandOdds. Can go back anytime during the season for any disputes. Ties (Push) is a none game...doesn't count. I trust you with the money and I'm good also.
*Hell RT, I couldn't even find odds at sportsdatabase. We can have a thread running for the contest during the season with final line and records. Fun stuff...Good luck.
Line will be final posted at ScoresandOdds. Can go back anytime during the season for any disputes. Ties (Push) is a none game...doesn't count. I trust you with the money and I'm good also.
*Hell RT, I couldn't even find odds at sportsdatabase. We can have a thread running for the contest during the season with final line and records. Fun stuff...Good luck.
yeah that sportsdatabase link will have all lines listed but we're still 5 weeks away so most are empty right now. no need to do that shit by hand
CMU/BUF play each other btw....i think that's the only game where two teams are scheduled for 2015
payment by 12/15 either way. GL
CMU/BUF play each other btw....i think that's the only game where two teams are scheduled for 2015
payment by 12/15 either way. GL
