Air Force vs TCU 10/23/2010

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TCU is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Air Force. Andy Dalton is averaging 186 passing yards and 1.4 TDs per simulation and Ed Wesley is projected for 98 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Air Force wins, Tim Jefferson averages 0.43 TD passes vs 0.41 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.2 TDs to 0.52 interceptions. Jared Tew averages 92 rushing yards and 0.65 rushing TDs when Air Force wins and 79 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. TCU has a 28% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TCU -18.5

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