Afternoon Soccer Play (With BIG Writeup)

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<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 2/14</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>475</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Sheffield United</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>pk +106 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+165 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 2 and 2.5 -112 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2>Props
</TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>11:43 AM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>476</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Reading </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>pk -116 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+145 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 2 and 2.5 -104 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap></TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>477</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>- Draw</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap></TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+225 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

The 2 best teams in the league square off against eachother. Reading, with an incredible 82 points, has just 1 loss in 33 matches this season.....and that was the first match of the entire season. They have not lost in a staggering 32 matches, 25 of those wins! This is by far their toughest test of the season as Sheffield United is 2nd in the league with 70 points. Sheffield U. has lost just 5 matches this season. 5 losses is great but it cant compare with the 1 loss of Reading. While Sheffield United has outscored opponents at an amazing 59-32 clip, almost 2-1 ratio, Reading has been even better....MUCH better! Reading has outscored their opponents an unworldy 72-19, almost a 4-1 ratio. They are having a season for the ages. If Reading was the home team this would be the lock of the year. But they are on the road and it always tough to win on the road, especially against a team as good as Sheffield United. After starting the season without a loss at home (thru 12 games), Sheffield has split the last 4 on their home grass, losing their most recent match vs 3rd place Watford 1-4. Looking back at their home wins, they bea tmostly the bottom of the league. Watford was their first real test and they came up empty. It only gets harder today....MUCH harder. Reading is a monster this year at home AND away! Reading has played 16 road matches this season and still hasnt had a single loss. They have won 10 of those 16 matches, which is also an incredible feat. Thy are outscoring their opponents 27-9 on the road. But more recently they havent been as dominating on the road. They narrowly beat the worst team in the league 4-3 and they finished in a draw the 2 matches before that. Though they are terrific on the road, they are definitely a better team at home and thats where they have padded most of their stats. At home they have outscored their opponents, get this, 45-10. If not for Readings last 3 road matches, which were 1 win and 2 draws -- still very good results on the road --, I would be all over this Reading team at PK. But recent form does mean alot in soccer and beating a great team on the road doesnt happen too often, and I really cant see Sheffield United losing 2 in a row at home.

Thats why my play is on the 2nd place home team at and a little bit on the draw....

Sheffield United PK +106

and

Draw 225 (for a quarter of the wager on the side)<!-- / message -->
 

New member
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Sep 21, 2002
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nice write up bol.

btw, try avoiding betting draws, too high a juice, not something that can be overcome easily and a money burner in the long run.
 

The Great Dane
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Nov 20, 2001
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Nice one, MadCapper!

I agree with Jack that betting draws should be avoided. (3-way lines in general imo)
 

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