The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
Yesterday: 3-4, +18.6 units
Currently: -42.60 units
Units remaining: 242.60
26-14-1, +77.40 units in first 9 days of July
Totals run of 20-12-2 last 34
7/10/09
$1000 Baltimore -105
The Orioles defeated the Jays 7-2 the last time Berken took the hill against this team. Look for similar results today as Baltimore will defeat Brett Cecil. Cecil has never faced Baltimore, but Toronto has lost his last 3 road starts and his last 4 all together. Opponents have scored 23 runs in his 4 road starts this year and 39 runs in his 7 starts total. That averages out to 5-6 per game. That will be enough against a Jays team who has lost 10 of their last 12 and are 16-30 in their last 46 gms. Talk about down the toilet. Throw in a 2-8 mark in their last 10 rd gms and 7-18 in their last 25 road gms you have trouble. Berken has not pitched bad at home and even if allowing 3-4 in this one, his team will get runs off the Jays. Look for a 3-4 run win by Baltimore.
$500 LA Angels +120
Yankees are 13-2 last 15 gms. Angels have won the last 7 of 9 mtgs at home with NY. Saunders will face Chamberlain. Joba has struggled at times this year. Opponents have tallied 17 total runs over his last 3 outings. He is 4-0 on road this year but Yanks come off a bullpen workout in the finale against Minny and will need Joba to go deep in this one to have a chance. Angels outscored Yanks 59-36 last year and 42-22 at home. Saunders will be happy he doesnt have to face Texas this time around as 15 of the 39 ERs he has allowed in his last 10 were at Texas. Besides those 2 outings, it shows over the other 8 gms he allowed just 24 ERs. He allowed 3 ERs in his last mtg with NY in a 4-3 win. Saunders has given up 23 ERs in 60+ inn at hm which makes LAA a live home dog.
$500 Oakland +150
The As have gotten some quality pitching of late and TB has struggled to score runs. A look back over each teams last 10 shows Oakland has allowed 5 or less total runs per game in 9 of their last 10. Tampa has only scored 5 runs or more in 2 of their last 10, making for a nice attempt at an upset. Tampa is over valued at home coming off the sweep of the lowly Jays who have lost 30 of their last 46 games. Niemann will go for TB and has allowed 14 ERs in nearly 30 innings at home. Mazzaro started out his Oakland career on fire but has simmered in his last 3 allowing 12 ERs in just 17 inn. He has been able to go 6+ in all but one start this year. He has allowed 10 ERs in 4 rd starts and opponents have netted an average of about 3 RPG in his rd outings. Should see a 4-3 final here.
$500 Chisox +115
Somehow, the White Sox come out victorious more than not with Danks on the hill against Minnesota. His stats arent the greatest but the Sox have won 4 of last 5 Danks outings against Minny. Blackburn can not say the same as the Twins are just 2-4 in his last 6 against the Sox. Both starters can definitly pitch a quality start tonight. Danks has only allowed 2 ERs in his last 2 outings vs. Minny over nearly 14 innings. Blackburn has allowed 3 ERs in his last 13 innings vs. Chicago. I give the edge to Danks who is in the zone right now pitching 7+ innings in his last 5 starts. Sox are 6-3 in Danks last 9 outings. Chicago 5-3.
$300 Florida/Arizona UNDER 8 (Nolasco/Haren)
Nolasco and Haren will both keep this one under the total. Nolasco is on fire of late as are the Marlins in his recent 5 outings. Florida is 5-0 in his last 5 starts, and he has gone 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA over his last 3. Opponents have only combined for 11 runs over his last 6 outings. Nolasco and the fish are 4-0 in his 4 previous outings against Arz. He allowed just 4 ERs in his 3 outings last season over a span of over 22 innings. All three of those outings went under the total. Haren has been anything but a slouch recently, as he has gone 2-1 in his last 3, with a 1.80 ERA. He has a 1.95 ERA at home. Haren has allowed 2 ERs or less in his last 8 starts, one of the longest streaks in the bigs right now. Last season he allowed 4 ERs over 2 outings vs. Fla. Look for 5 runs max in this one.
$200 Boston -1.5(-115)
(Bannister/Lester)
Red Sox are 4-2 after an opening series loss at home in gm 2. They send Lester to face Bannister. The Red Sox should bounce back after the loss last night but it seems like they are on a downswing as far as runs go. They are only 5-5 in their last 10. The good thing is their pitching has been great of late. Lester is at the top of that list going 2-0 in his last 3 with a 1.83 ERA. Boston has won 6 of his last 7 outings. Bannister and the Royals are complete opposites, losing 6 of his last 8 starts. The Sox have scored 23 runs in his previous 3 outings against them while KC was shutout last time they faced Lester. Last year, Lester went the distance allowing just 2 walks. A no-hit complete game. Royals should get a beat down after last night. Boston 7-1.
Yesterday: 3-4, +18.6 units
Currently: -42.60 units
Units remaining: 242.60
26-14-1, +77.40 units in first 9 days of July
Totals run of 20-12-2 last 34
7/10/09
$1000 Baltimore -105
The Orioles defeated the Jays 7-2 the last time Berken took the hill against this team. Look for similar results today as Baltimore will defeat Brett Cecil. Cecil has never faced Baltimore, but Toronto has lost his last 3 road starts and his last 4 all together. Opponents have scored 23 runs in his 4 road starts this year and 39 runs in his 7 starts total. That averages out to 5-6 per game. That will be enough against a Jays team who has lost 10 of their last 12 and are 16-30 in their last 46 gms. Talk about down the toilet. Throw in a 2-8 mark in their last 10 rd gms and 7-18 in their last 25 road gms you have trouble. Berken has not pitched bad at home and even if allowing 3-4 in this one, his team will get runs off the Jays. Look for a 3-4 run win by Baltimore.
$500 LA Angels +120
Yankees are 13-2 last 15 gms. Angels have won the last 7 of 9 mtgs at home with NY. Saunders will face Chamberlain. Joba has struggled at times this year. Opponents have tallied 17 total runs over his last 3 outings. He is 4-0 on road this year but Yanks come off a bullpen workout in the finale against Minny and will need Joba to go deep in this one to have a chance. Angels outscored Yanks 59-36 last year and 42-22 at home. Saunders will be happy he doesnt have to face Texas this time around as 15 of the 39 ERs he has allowed in his last 10 were at Texas. Besides those 2 outings, it shows over the other 8 gms he allowed just 24 ERs. He allowed 3 ERs in his last mtg with NY in a 4-3 win. Saunders has given up 23 ERs in 60+ inn at hm which makes LAA a live home dog.
$500 Oakland +150
The As have gotten some quality pitching of late and TB has struggled to score runs. A look back over each teams last 10 shows Oakland has allowed 5 or less total runs per game in 9 of their last 10. Tampa has only scored 5 runs or more in 2 of their last 10, making for a nice attempt at an upset. Tampa is over valued at home coming off the sweep of the lowly Jays who have lost 30 of their last 46 games. Niemann will go for TB and has allowed 14 ERs in nearly 30 innings at home. Mazzaro started out his Oakland career on fire but has simmered in his last 3 allowing 12 ERs in just 17 inn. He has been able to go 6+ in all but one start this year. He has allowed 10 ERs in 4 rd starts and opponents have netted an average of about 3 RPG in his rd outings. Should see a 4-3 final here.
$500 Chisox +115
Somehow, the White Sox come out victorious more than not with Danks on the hill against Minnesota. His stats arent the greatest but the Sox have won 4 of last 5 Danks outings against Minny. Blackburn can not say the same as the Twins are just 2-4 in his last 6 against the Sox. Both starters can definitly pitch a quality start tonight. Danks has only allowed 2 ERs in his last 2 outings vs. Minny over nearly 14 innings. Blackburn has allowed 3 ERs in his last 13 innings vs. Chicago. I give the edge to Danks who is in the zone right now pitching 7+ innings in his last 5 starts. Sox are 6-3 in Danks last 9 outings. Chicago 5-3.
$300 Florida/Arizona UNDER 8 (Nolasco/Haren)
Nolasco and Haren will both keep this one under the total. Nolasco is on fire of late as are the Marlins in his recent 5 outings. Florida is 5-0 in his last 5 starts, and he has gone 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA over his last 3. Opponents have only combined for 11 runs over his last 6 outings. Nolasco and the fish are 4-0 in his 4 previous outings against Arz. He allowed just 4 ERs in his 3 outings last season over a span of over 22 innings. All three of those outings went under the total. Haren has been anything but a slouch recently, as he has gone 2-1 in his last 3, with a 1.80 ERA. He has a 1.95 ERA at home. Haren has allowed 2 ERs or less in his last 8 starts, one of the longest streaks in the bigs right now. Last season he allowed 4 ERs over 2 outings vs. Fla. Look for 5 runs max in this one.
$200 Boston -1.5(-115)
(Bannister/Lester)
Red Sox are 4-2 after an opening series loss at home in gm 2. They send Lester to face Bannister. The Red Sox should bounce back after the loss last night but it seems like they are on a downswing as far as runs go. They are only 5-5 in their last 10. The good thing is their pitching has been great of late. Lester is at the top of that list going 2-0 in his last 3 with a 1.83 ERA. Boston has won 6 of his last 7 outings. Bannister and the Royals are complete opposites, losing 6 of his last 8 starts. The Sox have scored 23 runs in his previous 3 outings against them while KC was shutout last time they faced Lester. Last year, Lester went the distance allowing just 2 walks. A no-hit complete game. Royals should get a beat down after last night. Boston 7-1.
