Hi Bro,4/5 Plays:
NO -2.5 63.1%
Nets +3 61.2%
Denver at -7.5 has dropped to 59.8% - NO PLAY AT THIS POINT.
This issue has come up several times where the percentage drops without a line change. The plays are about 50/50, but for tracking purposes, they are not official plays. The only way it stays a play when the percentage changes is if it is caused by line move.
NO -2.5 63.1%
Nets +3 61.2%
Denver at -7.5 has dropped to 59.8% - NO PLAY AT THIS POINT.
This issue has come up several times where the percentage drops without a line change. The plays are about 50/50, but for tracking purposes, they are not official plays. The only way it stays a play when the percentage changes is if it is caused by line move.
I really don't know TBH. Something obviously changed with the simulations though. Could be something was found with an individual matchup and that changed it or something else. Each individual matchup is played through and an estimate is given for each person's scoring for the game based on who they will or should be matched up against.
Or, it could just be the sim occurred more times and during those additional sims, the cover didn't happen as much, thus lowering the total percentage.
Hey JJ, do you have a thread with your plays? I know you had a good thing going with college for a while, but I don't think I've seen you're NBA thread. Thanks!
As far as playing the games close to 60%, be careful, if you look back at the beginning of my thread, I tracked those as leans, and they didn't do great. That's why even if a play is 59.9%, I won't play it. BOL!!
No problem, that's why I recommend ppl wait to make their plays until the noon pacific time update (unless of course its an early game). I post early for information, but keep in mind things do change sometimes. Personally, I make all my plays at noon pacific (except early games of course). BOL!!
4/5 Plays:
Nets +2.5
NO -2.5
I'm seeing Denver at -7 at some places but the percentage hasn't changed. If it does, I'll update it. Other than that, doesn't look there will be any other plays tonight. Hopefully we can keep the winning streak going. 4-1 L5 after starting 0-5 this week. If we can pull off a sweep, we'll have an even week, which after the start we had, would be terrific.
Nets +2.5
NO -2.5
I'm seeing Denver at -7 at some places but the percentage hasn't changed. If it does, I'll update it. Other than that, doesn't look there will be any other plays tonight. Hopefully we can keep the winning streak going. 4-1 L5 after starting 0-5 this week. If we can pull off a sweep, we'll have an even week, which after the start we had, would be terrific.
