ive got teams when -.5 -55 thru -95 ATS L8Y - dont have handy if won by one. could do/dig up but dont have the time right now.
last four years when teams were -.5 -55 thru -.5 -95:
501-326 or 61%. so if we assume (which i do) the average price is -70, we know that laying -70 we need 63% to break even. just short. but some value is in seeing how each team does when heavy favorite. for instance colorado prior to this year for L3Y was 33-12; or if want to find club doing poorly in that scenario dallas is only L3Y 18-22.
bb