Wow, that teaser was one of the easiest wins I ever experienced.
I have five books that I use, and I follow line movements on all five on a regular basis. Numbers will go up or down for an hour or two, and if you're aware of what's going on, you just might catch a bargain that could make a difference between a win and a loss. If you've ever lost a game by a point or a half point, you know exactly what I am talking about.
A couple of days ago Canbet featured Minnesota for 3.5, whereas most books have had them at 4 for a while. I happen to like Minnesota over Oregon, as I think they are a more solid and consistent team. So here is a new play:
10* Minnesota -3
As you can see, when I had the opportunity, I bought it down to a 3. I like this game a lot. I guess if Oregon can beat Michigan they can certainly beat the Gophers, but I'm not counting on it. I still like this game at -4, but keep an eye on the ever-shifting lines and you might get an opportunity to get a bargain price as well. Even with that little piece of advice, I expect the Gophers to win comfortably -- hence the 10*. (Hence?)
10* Florida -3
How about this, a double-dose of 10*s. I bought a half-point here, too, and that's the last time I'm going to mention buying points, because I already explained that earlier. I feel that the Gators have better athletes and more speed than Iowa, and it's also going to be like a home game for them, no matter how well Iowa fans travel. Florida will be ready for this one, and there's a very good chance that they will win quite convincingly. Gators all the way.
Thought you might enjoy seeing a couple of 10*s from me. More games later.
I have five books that I use, and I follow line movements on all five on a regular basis. Numbers will go up or down for an hour or two, and if you're aware of what's going on, you just might catch a bargain that could make a difference between a win and a loss. If you've ever lost a game by a point or a half point, you know exactly what I am talking about.
A couple of days ago Canbet featured Minnesota for 3.5, whereas most books have had them at 4 for a while. I happen to like Minnesota over Oregon, as I think they are a more solid and consistent team. So here is a new play:
10* Minnesota -3
As you can see, when I had the opportunity, I bought it down to a 3. I like this game a lot. I guess if Oregon can beat Michigan they can certainly beat the Gophers, but I'm not counting on it. I still like this game at -4, but keep an eye on the ever-shifting lines and you might get an opportunity to get a bargain price as well. Even with that little piece of advice, I expect the Gophers to win comfortably -- hence the 10*. (Hence?)
10* Florida -3
How about this, a double-dose of 10*s. I bought a half-point here, too, and that's the last time I'm going to mention buying points, because I already explained that earlier. I feel that the Gators have better athletes and more speed than Iowa, and it's also going to be like a home game for them, no matter how well Iowa fans travel. Florida will be ready for this one, and there's a very good chance that they will win quite convincingly. Gators all the way.
Thought you might enjoy seeing a couple of 10*s from me. More games later.
Stayed away from the Hawaii Bowl because it seemed like anything could happen, and apparently it did.
I am raising my bet on Virginia Tech, posted earlier, to a 7*.
Here are a couple of new ones:
7* West Virginia +4
I see this as a really close game, with the Mountaineers getting the best of it this time. They are an entirely better team than they were the last time these two met. Also, it is hard to beat the same team twice in a season. Chalk me up for the Mountaineers in this contest.
7* Southern Miss +2
To me, thinking Utah is going to win easily over Southern Miss is the same as assuming Boise will blowout TCU, or that Hawaii easily covers the double-digit spread over Houston. People keep underestimating C-USA teams, and now we're dealing with the champ. Utah is good, no doubt about it, but I have a feeling that this is a case of a wrong favorite.
More later.
I am raising my bet on Virginia Tech, posted earlier, to a 7*.
Here are a couple of new ones:
7* West Virginia +4
I see this as a really close game, with the Mountaineers getting the best of it this time. They are an entirely better team than they were the last time these two met. Also, it is hard to beat the same team twice in a season. Chalk me up for the Mountaineers in this contest.
7* Southern Miss +2
To me, thinking Utah is going to win easily over Southern Miss is the same as assuming Boise will blowout TCU, or that Hawaii easily covers the double-digit spread over Houston. People keep underestimating C-USA teams, and now we're dealing with the champ. Utah is good, no doubt about it, but I have a feeling that this is a case of a wrong favorite.
More later.
Bowl games: 3-5 (-15.1*)
Teasers: 3-1
Good grief, after a very fine college football season, I'm suddenly having trouble picking winners in the bowls, which is usually when I do best! This leaves me embarrased and blue
Still, even after the last two setbacks, I wouldn't bet on me coming out on the minus side when the bowls are over and done. It's only happened once in the last ten years, and I don't plan on this year being the second. It's just more of a challenge now, and I love challenges.
Games already posted, write-ups above:
10* Florida -3
10* Minnesota -3
7* Southern Miss +2
7* West Virginia +4
7* Texas Tech -12.5
5* LSU/USC under 49
Two future teasers:
Texas Tech -4.5, over 66
LSU +13.5, under 56
Adding:
10* Georgia -3
I feel Purdue is outclassed here. I appreciate their season and their outstanding defense, but the Dawgs have the hosses to pull this one out. QB David Greene and his talented receivers will make big plays, and the Georgia defense will be every bit up to what the Boilermakers can produce. I feel this is a solid investment, with Georgia winning by at least a TD and possibly by double digits.
7* Auburn -3
I might be wrong -- has happened many a time -- but my feelings are that all in all the SEC outclasses the Big Ten this year. I also feel that Auburn will take their best shot in this game towards showing the nation the team they were intended to be. Carnell Williams will gain many yards in what is probably his last college game. DL DeMarco McNeil and LB Karlos Dansby will also leave their marks in their last collegiate game before making their marks as pros. I am tempted to make this a 10* as well, but am tempered by Auburn's capacity to not play to capacity at times. Even so, I feel confident of a solid Tiger victory in this spot.
7* Arkansas -2
Even without Shawn Andrews, the Hogs are a big, tough, physical team. SEC schools know that when they play the Pigs they're going to get beat up, because they are really physical and have been trained to play hard on every down. Brad Smith has enjoyed a great season for the Tigers, but there's a good chance that he'll be outplayed by counterpart Matt Jones in this game. Jones is a winner, and has a knack of doing whatever is necessary. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but I feel that the Hogs will atone for their flop in last year's bowl with a victory in this one.
Guys, after all that, I am undecided regarding tonight's game in the Alamo Bowl. It's not as clear cut for me as some of the others. I might have a play closer to game time, but after my showing in the last two games, I doubt anyone will check back at the last minute to see what team I am on
I will be away most of the time on Wednesday and Thursday, so will post the rest of my games through New Years by tomorrow.
I wish everyone great luck, and may you begin your New Year with mucho profits!
Teasers: 3-1
Good grief, after a very fine college football season, I'm suddenly having trouble picking winners in the bowls, which is usually when I do best! This leaves me embarrased and blue
Games already posted, write-ups above:
10* Florida -3
10* Minnesota -3
7* Southern Miss +2
7* West Virginia +4
7* Texas Tech -12.5
5* LSU/USC under 49
Two future teasers:
Texas Tech -4.5, over 66
LSU +13.5, under 56
Adding:
10* Georgia -3
I feel Purdue is outclassed here. I appreciate their season and their outstanding defense, but the Dawgs have the hosses to pull this one out. QB David Greene and his talented receivers will make big plays, and the Georgia defense will be every bit up to what the Boilermakers can produce. I feel this is a solid investment, with Georgia winning by at least a TD and possibly by double digits.
7* Auburn -3
I might be wrong -- has happened many a time -- but my feelings are that all in all the SEC outclasses the Big Ten this year. I also feel that Auburn will take their best shot in this game towards showing the nation the team they were intended to be. Carnell Williams will gain many yards in what is probably his last college game. DL DeMarco McNeil and LB Karlos Dansby will also leave their marks in their last collegiate game before making their marks as pros. I am tempted to make this a 10* as well, but am tempered by Auburn's capacity to not play to capacity at times. Even so, I feel confident of a solid Tiger victory in this spot.
7* Arkansas -2
Even without Shawn Andrews, the Hogs are a big, tough, physical team. SEC schools know that when they play the Pigs they're going to get beat up, because they are really physical and have been trained to play hard on every down. Brad Smith has enjoyed a great season for the Tigers, but there's a good chance that he'll be outplayed by counterpart Matt Jones in this game. Jones is a winner, and has a knack of doing whatever is necessary. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but I feel that the Hogs will atone for their flop in last year's bowl with a victory in this one.
Guys, after all that, I am undecided regarding tonight's game in the Alamo Bowl. It's not as clear cut for me as some of the others. I might have a play closer to game time, but after my showing in the last two games, I doubt anyone will check back at the last minute to see what team I am on
I will be away most of the time on Wednesday and Thursday, so will post the rest of my games through New Years by tomorrow.
I wish everyone great luck, and may you begin your New Year with mucho profits!
Reb,
Thanks for the insight and time you put into these games. I am sure you will make a great run here and completely flip around your bowl record this week. Love the Minny and Fla plays. I also agree w/ the Auburn play. I think they come up BIG this game.
Good Luck pal, and have a safe and Happy New year....
Thanks for the insight and time you put into these games. I am sure you will make a great run here and completely flip around your bowl record this week. Love the Minny and Fla plays. I also agree w/ the Auburn play. I think they come up BIG this game.
Good Luck pal, and have a safe and Happy New year....
7* Michigan St +4 (bought half)
Future totals play:
5* UCLA/Fresno under 44
7* Boston College pk
Just like BC in this game. Look for RB Derrick Knight to have a big night to bring in the New Year. Don't know if Van Pelt will be at full strength. Not much impressive analysis here. Just feel BC wins the game.
[This message was edited by NY Reb on December 29, 2003 at 07:59 PM.]
Future totals play:
5* UCLA/Fresno under 44
7* Boston College pk
Just like BC in this game. Look for RB Derrick Knight to have a big night to bring in the New Year. Don't know if Van Pelt will be at full strength. Not much impressive analysis here. Just feel BC wins the game.
[This message was edited by NY Reb on December 29, 2003 at 07:59 PM.]
Bowl games: 4-6 (-17.8*)
Teasers: 3-2
Today's games so far:
7* Texas Tech -12.5
Teaser: TT -4.5, over 66
Future games:
10* Florida St -1
I had a 10* on FSU the first time these teams played this year, and lost badly in a rainstorm. In my mind, there's no way the Noles lose again to the Canes. Noles are better at QB when Rix has his head tied on straight, and have oodles of motive, including revenge. Nole RBs Jones, Booker, and Washington will get more yards than Payton and Moss. Craphonso Thorpe will be missed at WR, but replacement Dominic Robinson was a high school All-American and has played solidly in Thorpe's absense. OT Alex Barron was a first team All-American this year. He won't start, but will be in the game in a flash. Darnell Dockett is a load at DT, and Kevin Emanuel and Eric Moore are as good a tandem at DE as you will find. In my book Noles have more overall talent than Canes this year, and I'll take them as a slight favorite even in a home game for Miami. If Miami wins this game, they are more of a football team that I give them credit for. I like the Noles big!
7* Ole Miss -1
Gotta go with the Rebs in this one. I agree with many that there are plenty of reasons to go with Oklahoma St, as they are a mighty dangerous team. And both teams want a 10-win season very badly. Still, have to go with Eli in his last collegiate game before he begins a great pro career. IMO, Eli is more interesting, as a character and as a player, than his brother. He has super targets to throw to. WR Chris Collins is also a future pro, and on the other side soph WR Mike Espy will find his way to the big leagues as well. Reb OL is talented and healthy. There are more big time recruits in that group than any on the Reb squad. Defense is the key here, and Rebs are much improved, ranking 13th in the nation against the run. Soph CB Travis Johnson, another future pro, is the same size as Rashaun Woods, and will be on him like a bee on honey the whole game. Johnson is the best pure athlete on the Rebs' team. Watch Jesse Mitchell in his last game at DT. Only 270, he's been the strongest man on the team since he was a sophomore. Josh Fields will complete his passes and Tatum Bell will get his yards, but I look to the Rebels to prevail in the end of what promises to be a highly entertaining game.
More later.
Teasers: 3-2
Today's games so far:
7* Texas Tech -12.5
Teaser: TT -4.5, over 66
Future games:
10* Florida St -1
I had a 10* on FSU the first time these teams played this year, and lost badly in a rainstorm. In my mind, there's no way the Noles lose again to the Canes. Noles are better at QB when Rix has his head tied on straight, and have oodles of motive, including revenge. Nole RBs Jones, Booker, and Washington will get more yards than Payton and Moss. Craphonso Thorpe will be missed at WR, but replacement Dominic Robinson was a high school All-American and has played solidly in Thorpe's absense. OT Alex Barron was a first team All-American this year. He won't start, but will be in the game in a flash. Darnell Dockett is a load at DT, and Kevin Emanuel and Eric Moore are as good a tandem at DE as you will find. In my book Noles have more overall talent than Canes this year, and I'll take them as a slight favorite even in a home game for Miami. If Miami wins this game, they are more of a football team that I give them credit for. I like the Noles big!
7* Ole Miss -1
Gotta go with the Rebs in this one. I agree with many that there are plenty of reasons to go with Oklahoma St, as they are a mighty dangerous team. And both teams want a 10-win season very badly. Still, have to go with Eli in his last collegiate game before he begins a great pro career. IMO, Eli is more interesting, as a character and as a player, than his brother. He has super targets to throw to. WR Chris Collins is also a future pro, and on the other side soph WR Mike Espy will find his way to the big leagues as well. Reb OL is talented and healthy. There are more big time recruits in that group than any on the Reb squad. Defense is the key here, and Rebs are much improved, ranking 13th in the nation against the run. Soph CB Travis Johnson, another future pro, is the same size as Rashaun Woods, and will be on him like a bee on honey the whole game. Johnson is the best pure athlete on the Rebs' team. Watch Jesse Mitchell in his last game at DT. Only 270, he's been the strongest man on the team since he was a sophomore. Josh Fields will complete his passes and Tatum Bell will get his yards, but I look to the Rebels to prevail in the end of what promises to be a highly entertaining game.
More later.
