A Big play for Big Monday

[fastfreddy]

57-58-3 ytd -19 units
Syr - 7 7 units
My big play today as I feel they will feed on the home crowd domers tonite and win by DD against a banged up shaky ND team. Any kind of run this SYR team may have in them begins tonite at home.
Smaller plays:
Del - 1 3 units (good home team)
ETSU - 17.5 3 units (continue to go against a shi**y Citadel team)
GLTA

 

[Kojak]

fastfreddy,

Best of luck on a sharp looking card. I would be careful with E.Tenn St. I can't really figure out why line is falling. Any insight?

 

[fastfreddy]

It is baffling how the Citadel can be getting any support here as ETSU may get 90 plus tonite. Maybe a gift? Also considering another go against FIU tonite. Should be an easy 20 pt win for Arky St.. FIU not gonna make conf tournament and on second leg of road trip almost certain to fold here. Backdoor may be open however with the large line(18). FIU probably ready to lay in the sun and just be done with a horrible season. Number also seems to be dropping here Why? Back later if I add them. Alos looking into CSU but trying to lock down status of big man Nelson. GL

 

[Kojak]

I was also looking at another go against FIU. Also, in relation to Citadel, line has gone from 18.5 to 17.5. It is baffling as well to me. Any reason you think as to why?

 

[fastfreddy]

Can't find out a thing. No suspensions or injuries to my knowledge. ETSU has I believe 5 players who all started last year and can score bushels. A 30 to 40 pt win is not out of the question. Might bump up the units on them before tip. Also I'll go ahead and add Arky St. - 17 3 units. I just don't think this disheartened FIU team without their leader can stay near the line tonite. GL

 

[Kojak]

I now see this line on ETSU is dropping to 17! Completely baffling!

 

[fastfreddy]

As always I'll be ready to buy these back if I hear discouraging news. But I'll stand by them for now and also feel we may see the money hit these two faves late. back later

 

[Kojak]

The only thing I saw on Don Best was that Erick Wilson who didn't play last game for Citadel listed as ? for tonight's game.

 

[fastfreddy]

This might be the reason but it shouldn't matter if he plays or not, they just don't have enough to hang with a much more talented ETSU. Also I think Fairfield may be a good 2nd half play if you can get it. Think they will make a run at home.

 

[Kojak]

Citadel has yet to win a conference game while ETSU leads conference. Definitely looks like a mismatch. Citadel won only 4 all year while ETSU lost only 3. Doesn't make a lot of sense as line should be in the mid 20's.

 

[Kapusta]

Freddy we cash on the Blue Hens, liking your Syracuse pick good luck!

 

[fastfreddy]

Adding 2 units to ETSU (total of 5)

 

[fastfreddy]

By the way last two units at 16.5(sportsbook), maybe the trap is set but I'll stand pat with ETSU. Seems the late money now on OU as the game a pick at some spots. GL

 

[Kojak]

Just wanted to let you know that ETSU down to 16.5. This is a major move from 18.5. Any thoughts?

 

[fastfreddy]

Have to admit it's disturbing to see this line move, but I feel strong ETSU blows them out in the second half. They're tipping now so in a couple hours we'll know. Leaning on Utah now also and probably gonna add them later. GL

 

[Kojak]

ETSU by 15 at half. I ended up not playing the game but I am rooting for you in 2nd half.

 

[fastfreddy]

ETSU gets it done but Syr lays the big egg at home. Down 2 units with 2 plays to go. GL