8/3 Overnight MLB Discussion

[buffettgambler]

Buffett, what's your thought about Cubs/Reds lineup out with Aramis Ramírez in and Scott Rolen out?

Downgraded the Reds 11 cents and bought back 17% of my original position. I still have a medium play on them, still think they are undervalued, just not as undervalued as they were on the overnight when lacking the current information.

 

[buffettgambler]

With that Nationals carrying some small value on the overnight, my upgrade on their worth, and the marke bidding up the Pirates price, the Nationals appear to warrant a medium play with the current no-vig at +143.

 

[1968]

I am somewhat suprised to see the market bid down the Braves in the magnitude that they did. I know that the market has been bullish on the Padres of late, but thought that the oddsmakers compensated for this expected bullishness with the generous open. Latos is still somewhat an unkown in the market and hard to quantify. I think the market is going on what they have recently seen from him and not what to expect from him going foward. They apparently liked him as an underdog. I also think there may be some irrational bets betting on the Padres due to the Braves having to travel late (that was information known on the open) and the market not liking how they looked last night (not terribly predictive). If these two variables are reason for the bid down, I am expecting the efficiency of the market to correct it by close.

buffet are you still liking braves the most of all the sides tonight?

 

[TheHungerForMore]

With that Nationals carrying some small value on the overnight, my upgrade on their worth, and the marke bidding up the Pirates price, the Nationals appear to warrant a medium play with the current no-vig at +143.

Looks good. Gonna get it on it. Thanks.

 

[buffettgambler]

buffet are you still liking braves the most of all the sides tonight?

Yes. I do not like the fact that the market moved against me, and the majority of my position is well above the current no-vig ask. But I think the market is getting ahead of themselves with Latos.

 

[TheHungerForMore]

Hit Rays Large earlier. F myself with buying Giants early. Bought out most of it on a bad line, remains a small play. Loved BG's Braves write-up +101 Large. Nationals +144 medium, Reds +135 medium. Brewers will be a small play it is still rising and hasn't seem to met it's high.

Thank you all for chipping in and good luck.

 

[TheHungerForMore]

Looks like i am going kick myself for not playing O's because i miss the high by 24+ cents when i woke up.

 

[buffettgambler]

Updgraded the Braves worth 7 cents. Added a little bit to my current position. Interested to see what this line does the next 30 minutes.

 

[buffettgambler]

As for tonight. Looking like i might have to play Brewers small today the situation and line factors in all the negatives and positives of both pitchers.

Market sent this one in the wrong direction. I agree with the notion the Brewers warrant risking a small play here (to win a medium).

 

[TheHungerForMore]

What are your instinct value lines on Braves and Brewers?

Gordon, rooting for a Mets fan comeback for you.

 

[TheHungerForMore]

Market sent this one in the wrong direction. I agree with the notion the Brewers warrant risking a small play here (to win a medium).

Thanks. Small to win medium sounds perfect. Something i should of did with O's before i went to sleep then line dropped and missed out of a good play.