He had the Raiders last night.
GREEN BAY –6 St. Louis 52
3-0-0/1-2-0 13.7-18.3
There’s no question about what you’re going to get with the Rams defense on the road. Simply put, they are not that good and will give up their share of yards and points in this game. The Rams defense on the road this year is allowing 4.9ypr against 3.8ypr, 6.7yps against 5.8yps and 5.8yppl against 4.9yppl along with 28 points per game against teams averaging just 21 points per game. The Packers offense at home this year is averaging 5.5ypr against 4.6ypr, 7.2yps against 5.9yps and 6.5yppl against 5.4yppl. Other than their game against anemic SF, the Rams have allowed at least 27 points and they haven’t played any offense even close to the Packers offense this year. In fact, in their last two road games, they have allowed anemic offenses, Miami and Buffalo, to score 31 and 37 points respectively. GB has faced two below average defenses this year and scored 41 and 34 points against Dallas and Minnesota. You can basically mark down GB for about 34 points in this game. The only thing that will keep them from getting there is turnovers and the weather may cause them to run the ball more. A large lead in this game may cause them to run the ball more as well. Going the other way, the Rams offense is still good, averaging 5.5yppl against 5.1yppl on the road this year. They’ll face a Packers defense, which is allowing 5.4ypr against 4.7ypr, 7.1yps against 6.5yps and 6.4yppl against 5.7yppl at home. It’s hard to say exactly what GB will allow in this game. Their defense has played much better as of late, since getting Grady Jackson back but some of those games have been against offenses that are not great, like Detroit, Washington and Houston. Having said that, the Rams offense isn’t nearly as good on the road as they are at home. The Rams have faced only one below average defense this year on the road and that was SF. They scored 24 points in that game but shut it down early because of a large lead. GB has allowed 20 and 31 points at home to the two good offenses they have faced there this year. I don’t have any situations on either team in this game If GB would become a favorite of less than six points, they would qualify in a Monday night situation, which is 62-31-2. Final home/away numbers favor GB by only two points but I think they stand a good chance of destroying a bad Rams team in this game. Those same numbers also predict about 56 points being scored but it’s getting mighty cold up in GB and this game also qualifies in an 234-134-8 under situation. GB’s propensity to run the ball with a lead and the cold weather make the under very possible with such a high total. GREEN BAY 34 ST LOUIS 17
GREEN BAY –6 St. Louis 52
3-0-0/1-2-0 13.7-18.3
There’s no question about what you’re going to get with the Rams defense on the road. Simply put, they are not that good and will give up their share of yards and points in this game. The Rams defense on the road this year is allowing 4.9ypr against 3.8ypr, 6.7yps against 5.8yps and 5.8yppl against 4.9yppl along with 28 points per game against teams averaging just 21 points per game. The Packers offense at home this year is averaging 5.5ypr against 4.6ypr, 7.2yps against 5.9yps and 6.5yppl against 5.4yppl. Other than their game against anemic SF, the Rams have allowed at least 27 points and they haven’t played any offense even close to the Packers offense this year. In fact, in their last two road games, they have allowed anemic offenses, Miami and Buffalo, to score 31 and 37 points respectively. GB has faced two below average defenses this year and scored 41 and 34 points against Dallas and Minnesota. You can basically mark down GB for about 34 points in this game. The only thing that will keep them from getting there is turnovers and the weather may cause them to run the ball more. A large lead in this game may cause them to run the ball more as well. Going the other way, the Rams offense is still good, averaging 5.5yppl against 5.1yppl on the road this year. They’ll face a Packers defense, which is allowing 5.4ypr against 4.7ypr, 7.1yps against 6.5yps and 6.4yppl against 5.7yppl at home. It’s hard to say exactly what GB will allow in this game. Their defense has played much better as of late, since getting Grady Jackson back but some of those games have been against offenses that are not great, like Detroit, Washington and Houston. Having said that, the Rams offense isn’t nearly as good on the road as they are at home. The Rams have faced only one below average defense this year on the road and that was SF. They scored 24 points in that game but shut it down early because of a large lead. GB has allowed 20 and 31 points at home to the two good offenses they have faced there this year. I don’t have any situations on either team in this game If GB would become a favorite of less than six points, they would qualify in a Monday night situation, which is 62-31-2. Final home/away numbers favor GB by only two points but I think they stand a good chance of destroying a bad Rams team in this game. Those same numbers also predict about 56 points being scored but it’s getting mighty cold up in GB and this game also qualifies in an 234-134-8 under situation. GB’s propensity to run the ball with a lead and the cold weather make the under very possible with such a high total. GREEN BAY 34 ST LOUIS 17
