YTD: -26.79 units
Cut the deficit 8.6 units the last two races hope to keep it going that way , a lot of plays today:
Match-Ups
5.00 units Tony Stewart (-140) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Been riding Stewart a good bit lately and with good reason, over the last 8 races he has an avg. finish of 10th(3rd best) and the last 4 races the avg. is even better, 8th(2nd best). At Michigan, he has 5 Top 5's the past 7 races and has beaten Kahne heads-up in 5 of the last 7. Once again this week he wasn't very impressive in practice on Saturday but that is nearly an every week occurance as of late.
3.00 units Tony Stewart (+125) over Jeff Gordon (@bodog)
Can't turn down the value here,add to the reasons above is that Stewart has beaten Gordon 3 straight at Michigan.
3.00 units Matt Kenseth (-105) over Kyle Busch (@5dimes)
Roush is definitely the man to beat here as history indicates and Kenseth leads that charge with 6 Top 5's and 9 Top 10's in 11 races for an 8.9 avg. finish. The last 8 races of 2008 he has an avg. finish of 12.5 which is 5th best over that time.
Hate going against Busch but it seems if he doesn't win the race he normally finishes outside of the Top 10 so I'll take the chance that that will happen today because Kenseth should be better than that.
3.00 units Elliott Sadler (+140) over Mark Martin (@bodog)
Sadler and this Gillette/Evernham team has shown improvement over the past few months they have the 12th best avg. finish over the last 8 races(16.25, 2 Top 5's/3 Top 10's/5 Top 15's in those 8 races). He has 3 Top 10's @Michigan in the past 7 races including this past June.
3.00 units Brian Vickers (-130) over Jeff Gordon (@bodog)
Vickers looks to have a Top 5 car this weekend to back up his 4th place run here in June. Just not sure about Gordon today.
Props
5.00 units Tony Stewart (-115) to finish better than 9.5 (@sportsbook)
Putting a lot of eggs in Smoke's basket but think he can get a Top 10
2.00 units Tony Stewart (+375) to win group (@thegreek)
over Biffle/Kahne/Gordon/Hamlin
1.00 unit Tony Stewart (+425) to finish Top 3 (@thegreek)
1.00 unit Brian Vickers (+345) to finish Top 3 (@thegreek)
Outrights
1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (+375) to win (@thegreek)
The hottest man on the circuit with a 3.25 avg. finish over the last 4 races
0.50 unit Matt Kenseth (+1000) to win (@thegreek)
Kenseth 10 to 1 @Michigan????
0.50 unit Tony Stewart (+1550) to win (@thegreek)
0.50 unit Brian Vickers (+1185) to win (@thegreek)
Good luck to everyone!
Cut the deficit 8.6 units the last two races hope to keep it going that way , a lot of plays today:
Match-Ups
5.00 units Tony Stewart (-140) over Kasey Kahne (@5dimes)
Been riding Stewart a good bit lately and with good reason, over the last 8 races he has an avg. finish of 10th(3rd best) and the last 4 races the avg. is even better, 8th(2nd best). At Michigan, he has 5 Top 5's the past 7 races and has beaten Kahne heads-up in 5 of the last 7. Once again this week he wasn't very impressive in practice on Saturday but that is nearly an every week occurance as of late.
3.00 units Tony Stewart (+125) over Jeff Gordon (@bodog)
Can't turn down the value here,add to the reasons above is that Stewart has beaten Gordon 3 straight at Michigan.
3.00 units Matt Kenseth (-105) over Kyle Busch (@5dimes)
Roush is definitely the man to beat here as history indicates and Kenseth leads that charge with 6 Top 5's and 9 Top 10's in 11 races for an 8.9 avg. finish. The last 8 races of 2008 he has an avg. finish of 12.5 which is 5th best over that time.
Hate going against Busch but it seems if he doesn't win the race he normally finishes outside of the Top 10 so I'll take the chance that that will happen today because Kenseth should be better than that.
3.00 units Elliott Sadler (+140) over Mark Martin (@bodog)
Sadler and this Gillette/Evernham team has shown improvement over the past few months they have the 12th best avg. finish over the last 8 races(16.25, 2 Top 5's/3 Top 10's/5 Top 15's in those 8 races). He has 3 Top 10's @Michigan in the past 7 races including this past June.
3.00 units Brian Vickers (-130) over Jeff Gordon (@bodog)
Vickers looks to have a Top 5 car this weekend to back up his 4th place run here in June. Just not sure about Gordon today.
Props
5.00 units Tony Stewart (-115) to finish better than 9.5 (@sportsbook)
Putting a lot of eggs in Smoke's basket but think he can get a Top 10
2.00 units Tony Stewart (+375) to win group (@thegreek)
over Biffle/Kahne/Gordon/Hamlin
1.00 unit Tony Stewart (+425) to finish Top 3 (@thegreek)
1.00 unit Brian Vickers (+345) to finish Top 3 (@thegreek)
Outrights
1.00 unit Jimmie Johnson (+375) to win (@thegreek)
The hottest man on the circuit with a 3.25 avg. finish over the last 4 races
0.50 unit Matt Kenseth (+1000) to win (@thegreek)
Kenseth 10 to 1 @Michigan????
0.50 unit Tony Stewart (+1550) to win (@thegreek)
0.50 unit Brian Vickers (+1185) to win (@thegreek)
Good luck to everyone!
