mmm
mmm
So it was a solid player not a loose player. I would assess the 600 bet as follows:
10% pure bluff with a flush flop which might worry you
40% small flush, trying to keep you interested if you have an A but also make you pay if you are on a flush draw
40% Ace with strong kicker, betting with a view to assessing if you have a made flush, flush draw or will fold
10% lower pair hoping you have no clubs and will fold, or lesser pair
So 80% of the time you are on a draw here, albeit you have 11 solid outs. Looks like a 50-50 shot to me. Unless I felt my chip position was desperate, I'd just call and retain the advantage of position on the turn.
I average 0.3 errors per sit and go. Unless I am in a desperate spot, going all-in on a 50-50 shot would count as 1 error. Going all-in with worse than 50-50 is 2 errors. Going all-in with 75-25 or better is zero errors providing I am not up against a total fish in which case going all-in at all is an error.
mmm
So it was a solid player not a loose player. I would assess the 600 bet as follows:
10% pure bluff with a flush flop which might worry you
40% small flush, trying to keep you interested if you have an A but also make you pay if you are on a flush draw
40% Ace with strong kicker, betting with a view to assessing if you have a made flush, flush draw or will fold
10% lower pair hoping you have no clubs and will fold, or lesser pair
So 80% of the time you are on a draw here, albeit you have 11 solid outs. Looks like a 50-50 shot to me. Unless I felt my chip position was desperate, I'd just call and retain the advantage of position on the turn.
I average 0.3 errors per sit and go. Unless I am in a desperate spot, going all-in on a 50-50 shot would count as 1 error. Going all-in with worse than 50-50 is 2 errors. Going all-in with 75-25 or better is zero errors providing I am not up against a total fish in which case going all-in at all is an error.
