BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com, a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top rankedhandicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball andBaseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
YOU CAN GET THE COMPLETE 2016 NFL AND NCAA FOOTBALL ATS TRENDS BY GOING HERE: https://tinyurl.com/z2weazl
Here is a look before the 2016 CollegeFootballseason starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force-- 4-0 ATS vs Boise State, 0-7 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-8 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama-- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <28.,5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-backStraight Up losses
Appalachian State -- 3-0 ATS as Dogs <18.5points, 1-5 ATS vs non-Conference foes
Arizona-- 4-0 ATS vs Utah, 0-4 ATS vs UCLA
ArizonaState -- 10-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-8 ATS asbeaten Favs
Arkansas-- 4-0 ATS vs LSU, 1-8 ATS vs Florida
ArkansasState -- 6-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-8 ATS as Favs off allowing SingleDigit points
Army -- 4-1 ATS vs Navy,0-6ATS vs Temple
Auburn -- 6-0 ATS at Home vs Vanderbilt, 0-4 ATS vsMississippi State
BallState -- New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-4ATS vs Northern Illinois
Baylor -- New Head Coach,7-0 ATS versus Rice, 0-5ATS versus Tcu
BoiseState -- 9-1 ATS in second ofback-to-back Road games, 0-4 ATS vs New Mexico
BostonCollege -- 8-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 1-12 ATSas Road Favs >3.5 pts
BowlingGreen -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Ohio U, 1-7ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo-- 6-1 ATS before playing Miami-Ohio, 1-5 ATS as Weekday RoadDogs
BYU -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS with Rest
California-- 8-1 ATS at Home vs UCLA, 1-6 ATS vs Usc
CentralMichigan -- 19-3 ATS as Conf Favsless than a TD, 0-6 ATS vsToledo
Charlotte -- Second lined year, 0-6 ATS as Double Digit Dogs
Cincinnati-- 5-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-3 ATS vs Miami-Ohio
Clemson-- 3-0 ATS vs Auburn, 1-6 ATS vs South Carolina
Colorado-- 6-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS vs Stanford
ColoradoState -- 3-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-3 ATS vs Utah State
Connecticut-- 5-1 ATS vs Syracuse, 0-5 ATS vsCincinnati
Duke -- 7-1 ATS vs Virginia, 1-4 ATS vs Miami
EastCarolina -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS vs non-Conference foes, 2-9ATS with Rest
EasternMichigan -- 5-0 ATS after playingToledo, 0-9 ATS off Double-Digit Straight Up win
Florida-- 8-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-6 ATSafter scoring <a Touchdown
FloridaAtlantic -- 7-1 ATS in second ofback-to-back Road Games, 1-6 ATS inWeekday Home games
FloridaInternational -- 71 ATS at Home after scoring 35or more points, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
FloridaState -- 4-0 ATS after playing NC State, 0-7 ATS after a SU Dog win
FresnoState -- 4-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS after playing Colorado State
Georgia-- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-6 ATSwith Rest
Georgia Southern -- NewHead Coach, 3-0 ATS as Favs lessthan 12 points
Georgia State -- 5-0 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-4 ATS asHome Dogs
GeorgiaTech -- 5-0 ATS at Virginia Tech, 2-9 ATS on theRoad vsopponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- New Head Coach,3-0 ATS at Air Force, 2-10 ATS insecond ofback-to-backRoad Games
Houston-- 9-1 ATS vs Tulane, 0-5ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- 3-1 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Illinois-- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home games,1-9 ATS vs Michigan State
Indiana-- 5-0 ATS Home as beaten Favs, 1-6 ATS with Rest
Iowa -- 8-0 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATSwins
IowaState -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-11 ATSafter playingTexas Tech
Kansas --4-0 ATS vs Tcu, 1-14 ATSafter playing Oklahoma
KansasState -- 9-1 ATS at Home vs Oklahoma State, 2-8 ATS on the Road offback-to-back SU losses
KentState -- 3-0 ATS at Bowling Green, 0-6 ATS as Home Favs offSU loss
Kentucky-- 8-2 ATS as non-Conf Favs of atleast two TDs, 1-8 ATS vs Tennessee
UL-Lafayette-- 3-0 ATS vs Texas State, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
UL-Monroe-- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS afterscoring less than a TD, 0-6 ATS vsArkansas State
LouisianaTech -- 6-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-4 ATS on the Road after scoring aTD or less
Louisville-- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS as Conf Dogsafter allowing >34.5 pts
LSU -- 5-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 0-4 ATS vsArkansas
Marshall-- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 2-8 ATS as beaten Favs
Maryland-- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beatenFavs, 1-6 ATS asDogs with Rest
Memphis-- New Head Coach, 13-2 ATS in last Road game, 1-6ATS as Weekday Favs
Miami -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 2-15ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH-- 3-0 ATS vs Kent State, 1-7ATS after playing Kent State
Michigan-- 5-0 ATS at Home with Rest, 0-8ATS vs Michigan State
MichiganState -- 8-0 ATS vs Michigan, 0-4 ATS with Rest
MTSU -- 4-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 0-7 ATSoff back-to-backSU and ATS losses
Minnesota-- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS after playing Purdue
Mississippi-- 7-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 1-10 ATS as Road Favsoff a SU win
MississippiState -- 4-0 ATS vs Auburn, 1-6 ATS vs South Carolina
Missouri-- New Head Coach, 55-4 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road,0-3 ATS vs West Virginia
Navy -- 6-1 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 0-6 ATS as Favs ofat leasttwo TDs
Nebraska-- 4-0 ATS after playing Illinois,1-5 ATS vs Wisconsin
Nevada -- 3-0 ATSvs San Jose State, 1-5 ATS vsrivals off a SU Dog win
NewMexico -- 5-0 ATS vs Boise State, 1-8 ATS at Home after scoring<10.5 pts
NewMexico State -- 5-1 ATS vs Idaho,0-13 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
NorthCarolina -- 6-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS as DD Dogs offa DD SU win
NorthCarolina State -- 13-0 ATS asDogs withRest, 0-4 ATSafter playing Florida State
NorthTexas -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS at Home vs beaten Favs, 0-3 ATS vs Army
NorthernIllinois -- 10-0 ATS in Weekday Roadgames, 1-5 ATS before playing Central Michigan
Northwestern-- 7-0 ATS at Home vs Wisconsin, 1-8 ATS before playing Iowa
NotreDame -- 5-0 ATS with Revenge, 2-9 ATS after playing Navy
OhioState -- 16-1 ATS after playing Penn State, 0-5 ATS vs Indiana
Ohio U -- 6-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-5 ATS vs Bowling Green
Oklahoma-- 6-0 ATS before playing Baylor, 0-7 ATS at Home vs Baylor
OklahomaState -- 12-0 ATS at Kansas, 1-9 ATS at Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Dogs off a SU win, 0-6 ATS off aSU loss
Oregon -- 5-0 ATS vsCalifornia, 0-6 ATS vs Washington State
OregonState -- 12-2 ATS after playingWashington State, 0-6 ATS vs Stanford
PennState -- 3-0 ATS vs Maryland, 1-11ATS on the Road
Pittsburgh-- 7-1 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 1-8ATS off a SU Dog win
Purdue -- 8-0 ATS as Double Digit Road Dogs, 1-9 ATS vsWisconsin
Rice -- 7-0 ATS as Favs less than four points, 0-7 ATS vsBaylor
Rutgers-- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs Michigan State, 1-5 ATS infirst of back-to-back Home games
San DiegoState -- 6-1 ATS before playing Hawaii, 0-4 ATS as Favs < TD withRevenge
San JoseState -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off aDouble Digit SU win, 0-5 ATS vs Boise State
SMU -- 4-0 ATS afterplaying TCU, 0-11 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Alabama -- 6-1 ATS on the Road vs rivals off a SU loss,1-4 ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win
SouthCarolina -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Home vs Georgia, 0-3 ATS vs Kentucky
SouthFlorida -- 5-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 2-11ATS with Rest
SouthernMississippi -- New Head Coach, 9-4 ATS last year, 2-11 ATSon Weekdays
Stanford-- 6-0 ATS vs Oregon State, 0-3 ATS vs Notre Dame
Syracuse-- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs Wake Forest,1-5 ATS after playing Boston College
TCU -- 5-0 ATS vs Baylor, 0-6 ATS off SU Dogwin vs below avg opponents
Temple -- 9-1 ATS vsUConn, 0-10 ATS as Favs with Rest
Tennessee-- 8-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-6 ATS atHome vs Alabama
Texas -- 5-1 ATS vs TexasTech, 0-4 ATS at Kansas State
TexasA&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-10 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- New HeadCoach, 7-0 ATS after allowing 35 ormore pts vsnon-Conf rivals, 0-4 ATS as Conf Home Favs
TexasTech -- 5-1 ATS in first ofback-to-back Road games, 0-5 ATS after playing TCU
Toledo -- New Head Coach,8-1 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 0-3 ATSvs Akron
Troy -- 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-4ATS vs Arkansas State
Tulane -- New Head Coach,4-1 ATS after playing Navy, 0-5 ATSonWeekdays
Tulsa -- 8-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 2-9 ATSversus non-Conf rival
UCF -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS in Weekday Road games, 2-8 ATS as RoadFavs
UCLA -- 4-0 ATS vs Arizona, 1-8 ATS at California
UMASS -- 6-0 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS withRevenge off Conf Play
UNLV -- 7-0 ATS WeekdayHome games, 0-5 ATS afterplaying Wyoming
USC -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Cal, 1-6 ATS off Weekday Play
Utah -- 8-0 ATS after playing Arizona State, 1-8 ATS afterallowing <10.5 pts
UtahState -- 6-1 ATS Weekdays, 1-8 ATS before playing Nevada
UTEP -- 6-0 ATS beforeplaying Southern Mississippi, 0-7 ATS at Rice
UTSA -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conf Play, 0-6 ATS asbeaten Favs
Vanderbilt-- 5-0 ATS vs Kentucky, 2-8 as Favs vs beaten Favs
Virginia-- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS with Rest,0-9 ATS as Favs vs above avg opponents
VirginiaTech -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-5 ATS at Home vs GeorgiaTech
WakeForest -- 5-0 ATS before playingClemson, 0-12 ATSas Favs >13 pts
Washington-- 9-0 ATS with Rest in Conf Play,0-10 ATS vs Arizona State
WashingtonState -- 6-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-4 ATS on Weekdays
WestVirginia -- 11-0 ATS vs rivals who were beaten Favs, 0-7 ATS as HomeFavs <9 pts
WesternKentucky -- 4-0 ATS vs FloridaInternational, 1-5 ATS vs North Texas
WesternMichigan -- 5-1 ATS vs Akron, 2-11ATS vs Northern Illinois
Wisconsin-- 6-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-7 ATS at Northwestern
Wyoming-- 7-0 ATS vs Air Force, 0-5 ATSafter scoring at least 35 points
Here is alook before the 2016 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basicATS trends:
Arizona-- Coachis 12-0 ATS as Dog <4.5 points and 12-3 ATS off non-Division Play vsabove avg rivals, 0-6 ATS on MNF, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays
Atlanta-- 9-2ATS on Thursdays, 7-1 ATS off MNF, 3-13 ATS as Favs, 0-5 ATS as beatenFavs
Baltimore-- 5-0 ATS on MNF, 6-0 ATS vs Miami, 0-6 ATS as Dogs on Thursdays, 1-6ATS before playing Cleveland
Buffalo-- 5-0 ATS versus Jets, 7-1 ATSafter scoring <10.5 pts, 2-9ATS after playing New England, 0-6 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Carolina-- 5-0 ATS with Division Revenge, 6-0 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-4 ATSbefore playing Atlanta, 1-7 ATS as Favs before Bye Week
Chicago-- 14-2ATS before playing Detroit, 7-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conference Play,0-6 ATS Home off non-Conference Play, 2-10 ATS beforeplaying Minnesota
Cincinnati-- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Home Dogs, 10-1 ATS after scoring <10.5pts, 1-7 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 1-7 ATS vs Houston
Cleveland-- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS onThursdays, 4-0 ATS vs San Diego, 1-7ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 3-8 ATS afterplaying Cincinnati
Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 5-0 ATS with Restand Revenge, 1-7 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-8 ATS vs Minnesota
Denver-- 7-1 ATS vs Oakland, 6-0 ATS withRest, 1-6 ATSon MNF, 0-9 ATS vs Indianapolis
Detroit-- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS on MNF,0-9 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 0-6 ATS after playing Minnesota
Green Bay-- 8-0 ATS before playing on MNF, 9-1ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-5 ATS off MNF
Houston-- 8-2 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 4-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-5 ATSonThursdays, 1-7 ATS on MNF
Indianapolis-- 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 9-0 ATS vs Denver, 1-7 ATS vs San Diego, 1-8ATS on the Road with Revenge
Jacksonville-- 5-1 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS after playing Houston, 0-5 ATS as Favs ofat least a TD, 0-7 ATS before playing Indianapolis
KansasCity -- 6-0 ATS vs AFC East, 9-2ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Denver, 1-7ATS after playing Oakland
Miami-- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Seattle, 7-3 ATS vs San Diego, 0-6ATS vs Baltimore, 0-5 ATS vs Jets
Minnesota-- 7-0 ATS before Bye Week, 13-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-5 ATS with Rest,0-7 ATS on MNF
NewEngland -- 5-1 ATS vs Arizona, 10-0ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 0-6 ATS vs Jets, 1-8 ATS vspoor Conf rivals
NewOrleans -- 9-1 ATS vs NFC North, 5-1 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 0-5ATS vs NFC West, 0-7 ATS in 2nd of back-to-back Road games
NY Giants-- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS after playing Washington, 7-0 ATS vs LosAngeles, 1-5 ATS vs NFC West, 1-8 ATS at Home vs Philadelphia
NYJets-- 5-1 ATS before Bye Week, 6-0 ATSvs New England, 1-9 ATS vs Baltimore, 0-9 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs
Oakland-- 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 8-2 ATS vs poorConf rivals, 0-7ATS before playing San Diego, 0-5ATS before Bye Week
Philadelphia-- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS in non-Conf Play, 5-0 ATS off 3+ SUlosses, 0-9 ATS vs Cincinnati, 2-9ATS before playingGiants
Pittsburgh-- 12-2 ATS vs above avg opponents, 9-1 ATS vs Buffalo, 2-8ATS before playing Cincinnati, 2-9 ATS vs AFC West
Los Angeles-- New Home city, 5-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 13-0 ATSas Favs afterscoring35 or> points, 0-7 ATS vs Giants, 2-9 ATS at Home vs NFC North
San Diego-- 12-0 ATS vs AFC South, 8-0 ATSvs Tennessee, 0-8 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 0-5 ATS with Rest
SanFrancisco -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS on MNF, 5-0 ATS vs New Orleans, 2-9 ATSwith Rest, 0-8 ATS vs Seattle
Seattle-- 6-0 ATS before MNF, 6-0 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS vsSan Francisco, 1-5 ATS vs Miami, 1-6 ATS Home with Rest
TampaBay-- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 8-1 ATS as RoadDogs after scoring atleast 35 pts, 1-7 ATS before Bye Week, 0-5 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee-- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 5-0ATS on MNF, 0-7 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-9 ATS after scoring atleast 35 pts
Washington-- 13-4 ATS before playing Giants,7-1 ATS before playing Dallas, 1-12ATS at Home on MNF, 1-7 ATS with Rest
2016 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about infootball wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most importantedge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more thantheir opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of thoseevents. This is true in all sports. But it is even moresignificant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teamsready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. SuchCoaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone namedHarbaughamong others have all shown their worth inthis area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is thegame for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams ineach Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC brokendown into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They arecalled the East, North, South and West. So now Division games areof even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in eachDivision. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, thesegames are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in theseason, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, youknow they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisionalgames. But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, alesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will havemost likely played a tough game the week before, and have an importanttough game the following week. Starters may be pulled earlyagainst Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game mightnot even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that hasbeen covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumpsoff of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because thebettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimesline movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet deador move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, butslightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than onepoint, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. Thiscan denote injuries or other late information such as weather,etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving outmisleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement inthe NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and thefinal line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who betearly one way and late the other way on the same game. I knowseveral gamblers who make their living on this, and i have beensuccessful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes ofwinning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their totalbet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other playwins.
NCAA football can be differentthough. With so many lined college games nowadays, big linemovement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movementduring the week won every single game those years. Everyweek! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the linecan easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move evenmore. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generallyis right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistentand massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors agreat 2016Football Wagering Season! Make sureto stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.comsite for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores,and moreimportantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com, a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top rankedhandicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball andBaseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.
YOU CAN GET THE COMPLETE 2016 NFL AND NCAA FOOTBALL ATS TRENDS BY GOING HERE: https://tinyurl.com/z2weazl
(SCROLLDOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)
2016NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) TrendsHere is a look before the 2016 CollegeFootballseason starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force-- 4-0 ATS vs Boise State, 0-7 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-8 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama-- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <28.,5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-backStraight Up losses
Appalachian State -- 3-0 ATS as Dogs <18.5points, 1-5 ATS vs non-Conference foes
Arizona-- 4-0 ATS vs Utah, 0-4 ATS vs UCLA
ArizonaState -- 10-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-8 ATS asbeaten Favs
Arkansas-- 4-0 ATS vs LSU, 1-8 ATS vs Florida
ArkansasState -- 6-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-8 ATS as Favs off allowing SingleDigit points
Army -- 4-1 ATS vs Navy,0-6ATS vs Temple
Auburn -- 6-0 ATS at Home vs Vanderbilt, 0-4 ATS vsMississippi State
BallState -- New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-4ATS vs Northern Illinois
Baylor -- New Head Coach,7-0 ATS versus Rice, 0-5ATS versus Tcu
BoiseState -- 9-1 ATS in second ofback-to-back Road games, 0-4 ATS vs New Mexico
BostonCollege -- 8-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 1-12 ATSas Road Favs >3.5 pts
BowlingGreen -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS vs Ohio U, 1-7ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo-- 6-1 ATS before playing Miami-Ohio, 1-5 ATS as Weekday RoadDogs
BYU -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS with Rest
California-- 8-1 ATS at Home vs UCLA, 1-6 ATS vs Usc
CentralMichigan -- 19-3 ATS as Conf Favsless than a TD, 0-6 ATS vsToledo
Charlotte -- Second lined year, 0-6 ATS as Double Digit Dogs
Cincinnati-- 5-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-3 ATS vs Miami-Ohio
Clemson-- 3-0 ATS vs Auburn, 1-6 ATS vs South Carolina
Colorado-- 6-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS vs Stanford
ColoradoState -- 3-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-3 ATS vs Utah State
Connecticut-- 5-1 ATS vs Syracuse, 0-5 ATS vsCincinnati
Duke -- 7-1 ATS vs Virginia, 1-4 ATS vs Miami
EastCarolina -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS vs non-Conference foes, 2-9ATS with Rest
EasternMichigan -- 5-0 ATS after playingToledo, 0-9 ATS off Double-Digit Straight Up win
Florida-- 8-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-6 ATSafter scoring <a Touchdown
FloridaAtlantic -- 7-1 ATS in second ofback-to-back Road Games, 1-6 ATS inWeekday Home games
FloridaInternational -- 71 ATS at Home after scoring 35or more points, 0-4 ATS vs Western Kentucky
FloridaState -- 4-0 ATS after playing NC State, 0-7 ATS after a SU Dog win
FresnoState -- 4-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-6 ATS after playing Colorado State
Georgia-- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-6 ATSwith Rest
Georgia Southern -- NewHead Coach, 3-0 ATS as Favs lessthan 12 points
Georgia State -- 5-0 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-4 ATS asHome Dogs
GeorgiaTech -- 5-0 ATS at Virginia Tech, 2-9 ATS on theRoad vsopponents off a SU Dog win
Hawaii -- New Head Coach,3-0 ATS at Air Force, 2-10 ATS insecond ofback-to-backRoad Games
Houston-- 9-1 ATS vs Tulane, 0-5ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- 3-1 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Illinois-- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home games,1-9 ATS vs Michigan State
Indiana-- 5-0 ATS Home as beaten Favs, 1-6 ATS with Rest
Iowa -- 8-0 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATSwins
IowaState -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-11 ATSafter playingTexas Tech
Kansas --4-0 ATS vs Tcu, 1-14 ATSafter playing Oklahoma
KansasState -- 9-1 ATS at Home vs Oklahoma State, 2-8 ATS on the Road offback-to-back SU losses
KentState -- 3-0 ATS at Bowling Green, 0-6 ATS as Home Favs offSU loss
Kentucky-- 8-2 ATS as non-Conf Favs of atleast two TDs, 1-8 ATS vs Tennessee
UL-Lafayette-- 3-0 ATS vs Texas State, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
UL-Monroe-- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS afterscoring less than a TD, 0-6 ATS vsArkansas State
LouisianaTech -- 6-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-4 ATS on the Road after scoring aTD or less
Louisville-- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS as Conf Dogsafter allowing >34.5 pts
LSU -- 5-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 0-4 ATS vsArkansas
Marshall-- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 2-8 ATS as beaten Favs
Maryland-- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beatenFavs, 1-6 ATS asDogs with Rest
Memphis-- New Head Coach, 13-2 ATS in last Road game, 1-6ATS as Weekday Favs
Miami -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 2-15ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS wins
Miami OH-- 3-0 ATS vs Kent State, 1-7ATS after playing Kent State
Michigan-- 5-0 ATS at Home with Rest, 0-8ATS vs Michigan State
MichiganState -- 8-0 ATS vs Michigan, 0-4 ATS with Rest
MTSU -- 4-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 0-7 ATSoff back-to-backSU and ATS losses
Minnesota-- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS with Rest, 0-7 ATS after playing Purdue
Mississippi-- 7-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 1-10 ATS as Road Favsoff a SU win
MississippiState -- 4-0 ATS vs Auburn, 1-6 ATS vs South Carolina
Missouri-- New Head Coach, 55-4 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road,0-3 ATS vs West Virginia
Navy -- 6-1 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 0-6 ATS as Favs ofat leasttwo TDs
Nebraska-- 4-0 ATS after playing Illinois,1-5 ATS vs Wisconsin
Nevada -- 3-0 ATSvs San Jose State, 1-5 ATS vsrivals off a SU Dog win
NewMexico -- 5-0 ATS vs Boise State, 1-8 ATS at Home after scoring<10.5 pts
NewMexico State -- 5-1 ATS vs Idaho,0-13 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games
NorthCarolina -- 6-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS as DD Dogs offa DD SU win
NorthCarolina State -- 13-0 ATS asDogs withRest, 0-4 ATSafter playing Florida State
NorthTexas -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS at Home vs beaten Favs, 0-3 ATS vs Army
NorthernIllinois -- 10-0 ATS in Weekday Roadgames, 1-5 ATS before playing Central Michigan
Northwestern-- 7-0 ATS at Home vs Wisconsin, 1-8 ATS before playing Iowa
NotreDame -- 5-0 ATS with Revenge, 2-9 ATS after playing Navy
OhioState -- 16-1 ATS after playing Penn State, 0-5 ATS vs Indiana
Ohio U -- 6-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-5 ATS vs Bowling Green
Oklahoma-- 6-0 ATS before playing Baylor, 0-7 ATS at Home vs Baylor
OklahomaState -- 12-0 ATS at Kansas, 1-9 ATS at Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 4-0 ATS as Dogs off a SU win, 0-6 ATS off aSU loss
Oregon -- 5-0 ATS vsCalifornia, 0-6 ATS vs Washington State
OregonState -- 12-2 ATS after playingWashington State, 0-6 ATS vs Stanford
PennState -- 3-0 ATS vs Maryland, 1-11ATS on the Road
Pittsburgh-- 7-1 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 1-8ATS off a SU Dog win
Purdue -- 8-0 ATS as Double Digit Road Dogs, 1-9 ATS vsWisconsin
Rice -- 7-0 ATS as Favs less than four points, 0-7 ATS vsBaylor
Rutgers-- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs Michigan State, 1-5 ATS infirst of back-to-back Home games
San DiegoState -- 6-1 ATS before playing Hawaii, 0-4 ATS as Favs < TD withRevenge
San JoseState -- 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off aDouble Digit SU win, 0-5 ATS vs Boise State
SMU -- 4-0 ATS afterplaying TCU, 0-11 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Alabama -- 6-1 ATS on the Road vs rivals off a SU loss,1-4 ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win
SouthCarolina -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Home vs Georgia, 0-3 ATS vs Kentucky
SouthFlorida -- 5-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 2-11ATS with Rest
SouthernMississippi -- New Head Coach, 9-4 ATS last year, 2-11 ATSon Weekdays
Stanford-- 6-0 ATS vs Oregon State, 0-3 ATS vs Notre Dame
Syracuse-- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs Wake Forest,1-5 ATS after playing Boston College
TCU -- 5-0 ATS vs Baylor, 0-6 ATS off SU Dogwin vs below avg opponents
Temple -- 9-1 ATS vsUConn, 0-10 ATS as Favs with Rest
Tennessee-- 8-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-6 ATS atHome vs Alabama
Texas -- 5-1 ATS vs TexasTech, 0-4 ATS at Kansas State
TexasA&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-10 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- New HeadCoach, 7-0 ATS after allowing 35 ormore pts vsnon-Conf rivals, 0-4 ATS as Conf Home Favs
TexasTech -- 5-1 ATS in first ofback-to-back Road games, 0-5 ATS after playing TCU
Toledo -- New Head Coach,8-1 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 0-3 ATSvs Akron
Troy -- 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-4ATS vs Arkansas State
Tulane -- New Head Coach,4-1 ATS after playing Navy, 0-5 ATSonWeekdays
Tulsa -- 8-1 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 2-9 ATSversus non-Conf rival
UCF -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS in Weekday Road games, 2-8 ATS as RoadFavs
UCLA -- 4-0 ATS vs Arizona, 1-8 ATS at California
UMASS -- 6-0 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS withRevenge off Conf Play
UNLV -- 7-0 ATS WeekdayHome games, 0-5 ATS afterplaying Wyoming
USC -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Cal, 1-6 ATS off Weekday Play
Utah -- 8-0 ATS after playing Arizona State, 1-8 ATS afterallowing <10.5 pts
UtahState -- 6-1 ATS Weekdays, 1-8 ATS before playing Nevada
UTEP -- 6-0 ATS beforeplaying Southern Mississippi, 0-7 ATS at Rice
UTSA -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conf Play, 0-6 ATS asbeaten Favs
Vanderbilt-- 5-0 ATS vs Kentucky, 2-8 as Favs vs beaten Favs
Virginia-- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS with Rest,0-9 ATS as Favs vs above avg opponents
VirginiaTech -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-5 ATS at Home vs GeorgiaTech
WakeForest -- 5-0 ATS before playingClemson, 0-12 ATSas Favs >13 pts
Washington-- 9-0 ATS with Rest in Conf Play,0-10 ATS vs Arizona State
WashingtonState -- 6-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-4 ATS on Weekdays
WestVirginia -- 11-0 ATS vs rivals who were beaten Favs, 0-7 ATS as HomeFavs <9 pts
WesternKentucky -- 4-0 ATS vs FloridaInternational, 1-5 ATS vs North Texas
WesternMichigan -- 5-1 ATS vs Akron, 2-11ATS vs Northern Illinois
Wisconsin-- 6-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-7 ATS at Northwestern
Wyoming-- 7-0 ATS vs Air Force, 0-5 ATSafter scoring at least 35 points
Here is alook before the 2016 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basicATS trends:
Arizona-- Coachis 12-0 ATS as Dog <4.5 points and 12-3 ATS off non-Division Play vsabove avg rivals, 0-6 ATS on MNF, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays
Atlanta-- 9-2ATS on Thursdays, 7-1 ATS off MNF, 3-13 ATS as Favs, 0-5 ATS as beatenFavs
Baltimore-- 5-0 ATS on MNF, 6-0 ATS vs Miami, 0-6 ATS as Dogs on Thursdays, 1-6ATS before playing Cleveland
Buffalo-- 5-0 ATS versus Jets, 7-1 ATSafter scoring <10.5 pts, 2-9ATS after playing New England, 0-6 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Carolina-- 5-0 ATS with Division Revenge, 6-0 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-4 ATSbefore playing Atlanta, 1-7 ATS as Favs before Bye Week
Chicago-- 14-2ATS before playing Detroit, 7-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conference Play,0-6 ATS Home off non-Conference Play, 2-10 ATS beforeplaying Minnesota
Cincinnati-- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Home Dogs, 10-1 ATS after scoring <10.5pts, 1-7 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 1-7 ATS vs Houston
Cleveland-- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS onThursdays, 4-0 ATS vs San Diego, 1-7ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 3-8 ATS afterplaying Cincinnati
Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 5-0 ATS with Restand Revenge, 1-7 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-8 ATS vs Minnesota
Denver-- 7-1 ATS vs Oakland, 6-0 ATS withRest, 1-6 ATSon MNF, 0-9 ATS vs Indianapolis
Detroit-- 4-0 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS on MNF,0-9 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 0-6 ATS after playing Minnesota
Green Bay-- 8-0 ATS before playing on MNF, 9-1ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-5 ATS off MNF
Houston-- 8-2 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 4-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-5 ATSonThursdays, 1-7 ATS on MNF
Indianapolis-- 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 9-0 ATS vs Denver, 1-7 ATS vs San Diego, 1-8ATS on the Road with Revenge
Jacksonville-- 5-1 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS after playing Houston, 0-5 ATS as Favs ofat least a TD, 0-7 ATS before playing Indianapolis
KansasCity -- 6-0 ATS vs AFC East, 9-2ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Denver, 1-7ATS after playing Oakland
Miami-- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Seattle, 7-3 ATS vs San Diego, 0-6ATS vs Baltimore, 0-5 ATS vs Jets
Minnesota-- 7-0 ATS before Bye Week, 13-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-5 ATS with Rest,0-7 ATS on MNF
NewEngland -- 5-1 ATS vs Arizona, 10-0ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 0-6 ATS vs Jets, 1-8 ATS vspoor Conf rivals
NewOrleans -- 9-1 ATS vs NFC North, 5-1 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 0-5ATS vs NFC West, 0-7 ATS in 2nd of back-to-back Road games
NY Giants-- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS after playing Washington, 7-0 ATS vs LosAngeles, 1-5 ATS vs NFC West, 1-8 ATS at Home vs Philadelphia
NYJets-- 5-1 ATS before Bye Week, 6-0 ATSvs New England, 1-9 ATS vs Baltimore, 0-9 ATS on the Road as beaten Favs
Oakland-- 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 8-2 ATS vs poorConf rivals, 0-7ATS before playing San Diego, 0-5ATS before Bye Week
Philadelphia-- New Head Coach, 8-1 ATS in non-Conf Play, 5-0 ATS off 3+ SUlosses, 0-9 ATS vs Cincinnati, 2-9ATS before playingGiants
Pittsburgh-- 12-2 ATS vs above avg opponents, 9-1 ATS vs Buffalo, 2-8ATS before playing Cincinnati, 2-9 ATS vs AFC West
Los Angeles-- New Home city, 5-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 13-0 ATSas Favs afterscoring35 or> points, 0-7 ATS vs Giants, 2-9 ATS at Home vs NFC North
San Diego-- 12-0 ATS vs AFC South, 8-0 ATSvs Tennessee, 0-8 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 0-5 ATS with Rest
SanFrancisco -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS on MNF, 5-0 ATS vs New Orleans, 2-9 ATSwith Rest, 0-8 ATS vs Seattle
Seattle-- 6-0 ATS before MNF, 6-0 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS vsSan Francisco, 1-5 ATS vs Miami, 1-6 ATS Home with Rest
TampaBay-- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 8-1 ATS as RoadDogs after scoring atleast 35 pts, 1-7 ATS before Bye Week, 0-5 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee-- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 5-0ATS on MNF, 0-7 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-9 ATS after scoring atleast 35 pts
Washington-- 13-4 ATS before playing Giants,7-1 ATS before playing Dallas, 1-12ATS at Home on MNF, 1-7 ATS with Rest
2016 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about infootball wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most importantedge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more thantheir opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of thoseevents. This is true in all sports. But it is even moresignificant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teamsready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. SuchCoaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone namedHarbaughamong others have all shown their worth inthis area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is thegame for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams ineach Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC brokendown into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They arecalled the East, North, South and West. So now Division games areof even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in eachDivision. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, thesegames are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in theseason, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, youknow they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisionalgames. But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, alesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will havemost likely played a tough game the week before, and have an importanttough game the following week. Starters may be pulled earlyagainst Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game mightnot even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that hasbeen covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumpsoff of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because thebettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimesline movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet deador move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, butslightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than onepoint, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. Thiscan denote injuries or other late information such as weather,etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving outmisleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement inthe NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and thefinal line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who betearly one way and late the other way on the same game. I knowseveral gamblers who make their living on this, and i have beensuccessful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes ofwinning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their totalbet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other playwins.
NCAA football can be differentthough. With so many lined college games nowadays, big linemovement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movementduring the week won every single game those years. Everyweek! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the linecan easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move evenmore. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generallyis right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistentand massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors agreat 2016Football Wagering Season! Make sureto stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.comsite for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores,and moreimportantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
