2014 World Cup Golden Boot Award Winner Odds

[HacheMan]

5dimes

World Cup Golden Boot Award Winner 2014 Thu 6/12 7:00AM
Lionel Messi	+750
Neymar	+1500
Sergio Aguero	+1500
Cristiano Ronaldo	+1600
Luis Suarez	+1650
Diego Costa	+2350
Gonzalo Higuain	+2600
Robin Van Persie	+3050
Alvaro Negredo	+3650
Wayne Rooney	+4000
Mario Balotelli	+4500
Thomas Muller	+5000
Daniel Sturridge	+5000
Hulk	+5500
Edinson Cavani	+5500
Christian Benteke	+5500
Fernando Torres	+5500
Karim Benzema	+5500
Edin Dzeko	+6000
Teofilo Guitierrez	+6500
Romelu Lukaku	+7000
Giuseppe Rossi	+7000
Marco Reus	+7000
Eden Hazard	+7000
Olivier Giroud	+7500
Jackson Martinez	+7500
Miroslav Klose	+8000
Mario Gomez	+8000
Mesut Ozil	+8000
Franck Ribery	+8000
Mario Goetze	+8500
Arjen Robben	+9000
Klaas Jan Huntelaar	+9000
Andre Schurrle	+9000
Alexandre Pato	+10000
Oscar	+10000
Ezequiel Lavezzi	+10000
Jeremain Lens	+10000
Cesc Fabregas	+10000
Eduardo Vargas	+10000
Alexis Sanchez	+10000
Michu	+10000
Isco	+10000
Arturo Vidal	+10000
Diego Forlan	+10000
Max Kruse	+12000
David Villa	+12500
Lukas Podolski	+13000
Roberto Soldado	+14000
Robinho	+15000

 

[rolltide]

Alexis Sanchez +10000 w-thumbs!^

 

[SunDodger]

I like Neymar at 15-1. Interesting that Fred is not listed, even though he was tied for most goals in 2013 Confederations Cup.

 

[ExeR]

Isn't Ronaldo the most obvious one among favourites? Prime of his career, gonna be top scorer for his nation and most important tourney of his life. Option #1,2,3 in his team, all set pieces. Don't need to be opponent of his own teammates on the field, or in the odds (as guys from Argentina). Both him and Suarez don't play on packed teams (in terms of # of possible goalscorers), and you want to take guys like that, or guys that will play on teams that will score a lot of goals. Don't like Suarez chances though, he's got probable lowscoring game vs Italy's and bunch of guys who know him vs England. Both Portugal and Uruguay got good projected opponents in first playoff round, but if Portugal will finish 2nd, they got much harder bracket. If they happen to finish first, it will be the easiest possible ride to 1/2 (with France in 1/4). It's group H and group E opponents, weakest ones in the tourney, and they have shot at first place in the group. Uruguay may not qualify at all, and if the do, they don't have easy bracket options. Need upset of Spain in group, or it will be 1/4 vs Brazil/Spain for them. So Ronaldo is the best choice for me. Other than him, it must be a guy on certain 1/2 finisher, top goalscoarers are always on those teams. With exception of dark horses, it's imo Brazil (easy group+playoffs), Spain (has a good road to 1/2 if first in group), Germany+Argentina (has tough roads, with possible problems in 1/4, but most talanted). Spain and Argentina are too packed, one has tough group, the other will probably has opponents playing very carefully. Brazil is better equipped than Arg. to score insane amount of goals (both got easy road to 1/4) and Brazil can have the easiest 1/4 opponent. Germany in tough position, but their style of play will present a good opportunity. 0 to 90 offence, 36 goals in qualification. Last time they unload 3+ goals 4 of 7 games. Don't know the lineups/starters yet, but I think it should be:
Ronaldo+Brazilians+Germans as a safe bet, and all the value dogs should be analyzed deeper.