2014 MLB season thread - PDWS, baseball analytics, waldos, etc

[rolltide]

yeah i don't see why not...did it last year

main thing is that i do all the master comparison so you don't have to float back and forth to see L30-60 days and/or YTD for a category. ends up looking like

pass qZen9 Tor over (5-4-1 1-2/1)
pass Qzen Hou under
play 2zen9 Cincy (9-3/3-2)
pass PC RD vs LAD (5-5/4-5)
conflict Dog Play vs STL (1-9/0-2)
pass Vis Play vs ARI (7-6/4-3)
conflict Vis BD vs STL (3-2/3-2)
pass PE HP STL (11-11/5-5)
pass GMERAvsLINE3 Bal under (18-16/8-6)
pass 10NAGST vs Mets, vs SF (16-14)
play HFN1VS1 LAD (23-10/7-2)
pass HDA1VS>1 Tor (30-21/12-11)
play 1NPLY LAD (55-14/15-4)
pass AUNDR Tex under, CWS under




LAD in a combined 78-24 spot but at those odds not playable unless you stake the run line which I don't recommend. A couple of conflicting play but Cincy as a 2Z9 is certainly available. Houston under not playable with new pitcher for yanks and the Toronto over has been a coin flip category.


Fri pdws:
Cincy -119

note: Mark Wegner should be at home plate somewhere tonight and I have him in a 18-5 over/under situation so find him and play the over. sportsoptions or mlb.com will have umps in boxscore within a half hour before the start of every game...won't be official but certainly recommend you play the Wegner game OVER tonight.



_________________________________________________________________________________

example 2:

rev c breakdown:pass Qzen8 Mil over (5-5/1-3)
pass Qzen9 Tor over (5-4-1/1-2-1)
play Qzen17 Pitt under (7-3-1/4-3-1)
pass Qzen13 Ari under (13-7/2-3)
pass CTP VD vs Pit, vs Det
pass PE2 HP Pitt
pass PH HP CWS, HOU (20-13/12-10)
pass GM ERA vs LINE 3 Hou over (8-11/6-5)
pass A UNDR Tex under, CWS under (18-11 L2)
pass N UNDR Ari under (23-14/5-6)
pass VIS vs Arizona (12-15/6-6)
MLB plays:
Pit under 7 -120
Bos under 8.5 -120 (ump POD)- playing Bos/Nyy under with Kulpa behind the plate. In last game of series on Sunday he’s called 23 unders in 29 games (80%) over the past 5.5 years with avg total of 8.3 but hitting just 6.7 rpg on average. Under is also 6-1 L7 sunday getaway games

 

[drpugilist]

yeah i don't see why not...did it last year

main thing is that i do all the master comparison so you don't have to float back and forth to see L30-60 days and/or YTD for a category. ends up looking like

pass qZen9 Tor over (5-4-1 1-2/1)
pass Qzen Hou under
play 2zen9 Cincy (9-3/3-2)
pass PC RD vs LAD (5-5/4-5)
conflict Dog Play vs STL (1-9/0-2)
pass Vis Play vs ARI (7-6/4-3)
conflict Vis BD vs STL (3-2/3-2)
pass PE HP STL (11-11/5-5)
pass GMERAvsLINE3 Bal under (18-16/8-6)
pass 10NAGST vs Mets, vs SF (16-14)
play HFN1VS1 LAD (23-10/7-2)
pass HDA1VS>1 Tor (30-21/12-11)
play 1NPLY LAD (55-14/15-4)
pass AUNDR Tex under, CWS under




LAD in a combined 78-24 spot but at those odds not playable unless you stake the run line which I don't recommend. A couple of conflicting play but Cincy as a 2Z9 is certainly available. Houston under not playable with new pitcher for yanks and the Toronto over has been a coin flip category.


Fri pdws:
Cincy -119

note: Mark Wegner should be at home plate somewhere tonight and I have him in a 18-5 over/under situation so find him and play the over. sportsoptions or mlb.com will have umps in boxscore within a half hour before the start of every game...won't be official but certainly recommend you play the Wegner game OVER tonight.



_________________________________________________________________________________

example 2:

rev c breakdown:pass Qzen8 Mil over (5-5/1-3)
pass Qzen9 Tor over (5-4-1/1-2-1)
play Qzen17 Pitt under (7-3-1/4-3-1)
pass Qzen13 Ari under (13-7/2-3)
pass CTP VD vs Pit, vs Det
pass PE2 HP Pitt
pass PH HP CWS, HOU (20-13/12-10)
pass GM ERA vs LINE 3 Hou over (8-11/6-5)
pass A UNDR Tex under, CWS under (18-11 L2)
pass N UNDR Ari under (23-14/5-6)
pass VIS vs Arizona (12-15/6-6)
MLB plays:
Pit under 7 -120
Bos under 8.5 -120 (ump POD)- playing Bos/Nyy under with Kulpa behind the plate. In last game of series on Sunday he’s called 23 unders in 29 games (80%) over the past 5.5 years with avg total of 8.3 but hitting just 6.7 rpg on average. Under is also 6-1 L7 sunday getaway games

got it, as with pops, do you consider mlb as your best?

 

[Sherlock2011]

yeah i don't see why not...did it last year

main thing is that i do all the master comparison so you don't have to float back and forth to see L30-60 days and/or YTD for a category. ends up looking like

pass qZen9 Tor over (5-4-1 1-2/1)
pass Qzen Hou under
play 2zen9 Cincy (9-3/3-2)
pass PC RD vs LAD (5-5/4-5)
conflict Dog Play vs STL (1-9/0-2)
pass Vis Play vs ARI (7-6/4-3)
conflict Vis BD vs STL (3-2/3-2)
pass PE HP STL (11-11/5-5)
pass GMERAvsLINE3 Bal under (18-16/8-6)
pass 10NAGST vs Mets, vs SF (16-14)
play HFN1VS1 LAD (23-10/7-2)
pass HDA1VS>1 Tor (30-21/12-11)
play 1NPLY LAD (55-14/15-4)
pass AUNDR Tex under, CWS under




LAD in a combined 78-24 spot but at those odds not playable unless you stake the run line which I don't recommend. A couple of conflicting play but Cincy as a 2Z9 is certainly available. Houston under not playable with new pitcher for yanks and the Toronto over has been a coin flip category.


Fri pdws:
Cincy -119

note: Mark Wegner should be at home plate somewhere tonight and I have him in a 18-5 over/under situation so find him and play the over. sportsoptions or mlb.com will have umps in boxscore within a half hour before the start of every game...won't be official but certainly recommend you play the Wegner game OVER tonight.



_________________________________________________________________________________

example 2:

rev c breakdown:pass Qzen8 Mil over (5-5/1-3)
pass Qzen9 Tor over (5-4-1/1-2-1)
play Qzen17 Pitt under (7-3-1/4-3-1)
pass Qzen13 Ari under (13-7/2-3)
pass CTP VD vs Pit, vs Det
pass PE2 HP Pitt
pass PH HP CWS, HOU (20-13/12-10)
pass GM ERA vs LINE 3 Hou over (8-11/6-5)
pass A UNDR Tex under, CWS under (18-11 L2)
pass N UNDR Ari under (23-14/5-6)
pass VIS vs Arizona (12-15/6-6)
MLB plays:
Pit under 7 -120
Bos under 8.5 -120 (ump POD)- playing Bos/Nyy under with Kulpa behind the plate. In last game of series on Sunday he’s called 23 unders in 29 games (80%) over the past 5.5 years with avg total of 8.3 but hitting just 6.7 rpg on average. Under is also 6-1 L7 sunday getaway games

Many thanks. Much appreciated.

 

[drpugilist]

where on the site are the pdws? im not finding them. thanks.

 

[rolltide]

i just moved it up to the top of the page in a pink box. can't miss it

 

[rolltide]

got it, as with pops, do you consider mlb as your best?

no, soccer....

 

[drpugilist]

i just moved it up to the top of the page in a pink box. can't miss it

got it, thanks. is this where they will be daily?

 

[DazedampConfused]

Your thread title is misleading, as it suggests the pdws will be here, not just at piginlipsick.com

 

[rolltide]

Your thread title is misleading, as it suggests the pdws will be here, not just at piginlipsick.com

your post is misleading since i've already pasted several pdws' here...posts 66-81-99 for example

said I DON'T KNOW if i will post the master (aka, final sheet....which was asked about) at all here since it's not mine to give away. might post the daily here and there but to create multiple sheets when you guys aren't downloading the ones i already posted seems a bit stupid, eh?

let's be honest now confused....if i post the daily you'll just be in here whiny and moaning about a master not being posted which you aren't downloading anyway. some people just like to bitch and cry....usually they're called women. usually

and for pugilist, yes it will be there

 

[rolltide]

speaking of which here is the pdws for the E8 games from yday which includes today's games for you not to download

E8 PDWS
https://www.dropbox.com/s/af3uos3mj4dpvgx/CBB%202013%20Daily%20Schedule%20Sat%20Mar%2029.xlsm

 

[rolltide]

got this prop going

Uconn/MSU over 13.5 three pointers made

both are top 16 in the country in 3-pt % offense but outside the top 100 in 3-pt % defense. Both know it's tough to score inside on the opponent as both are inside the top 20 in 2-pt % defense. They don't get to the line much either as Mich St is just 341st in points from FT's while Uconn is outside the top 150 as they avg together just 20% of points from FT. Both teams right at 30-31% of oints from 3 and shoot it at a big rate vs just avg teams defending the three ball so I'm calculating it out to 16 or even 17 threes made in a game played in the 140's

 

[DazedampConfused]

your post is misleading since i've already pasted several pdws' here...posts 66-81-99 for example

said I DON'T KNOW if i will post the master (aka, final sheet....which was asked about) at all here since it's not mine to give away. might post the daily here and there but to create multiple sheets when you guys aren't downloading the ones i already posted seems a bit stupid, eh?

let's be honest now confused....if i post the daily you'll just be in here whiny and moaning about a master not being posted which you aren't downloading anyway. some people just like to bitch and cry....usually they're called women. usually

and for pugilist, yes it will be there

and some people like to come to forums and drop a trail of bread crumbs leading to another site, etc. they are usually called touts. usually.

just for the record, me being the anal prick that i am, if you reference the operations manuals pops supplied you along with the rights to the site, etc., PDWS is Pitcher Daily Work Sheet. Since cbb teams do not court pitchers, those are simply called DWS (daily worksheet). Just trying to help you keep the water clear.

MLB is finally here. Good luck this season. I'm sure we will be talking more.

 

[drpugilist]

will there still be discussion in here regarding the pdws as there has been in the past? as most of you know, i usually have a bunch of questions abt them. some may be beneficial, most are probably not. ha

 

[rolltide]

and some people like to come to forums and drop a trail of bread crumbs leading to another site, etc. they are usually called touts. usually.

if that's what you honestly think i'm doing then message received....will close the thread and free up a good bit of time for people that don't appreciate jack fucking shit and absolutely offer nothing in terms of betting discussion. enjoy your mlb season.

 

[savage55]

if that's what you honestly think i'm doing then message received....will close the thread and free up a good bit of time for people that don't appreciate jack fucking shit and absolutely offer nothing in terms of betting discussion. enjoy your mlb season.

Roll please don't let this guy ruin it for people that DO appreciate what you do.. Your a good person and most of us no that and appreciate it

 

[colorado]

Rolltide, youre better than this, don't come down to this guys level, the info you and others have provided in this thread is not replaceable, my handicapping has benefitted greatly from this thread. im very thankful to you,pops and the many contributors to this site rise above this "BS"

 

[DazedampConfused]

if that's what you honestly think i'm doing then message received....will close the thread and free up a good bit of time for people that don't appreciate jack fucking shit and absolutely offer nothing in terms of betting discussion. enjoy your mlb season.

LAD under.
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