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was at the cavs game against the heat the other night and the one thing that game showed me was how much miami has slipped, wade did not play and it was cleveland but this team looks average.. cavs hung with them which is not a good thing, i was surprised that they started bosh and oden, oden only played 14 minutes but looked good and moved well. of course miami is built the the post season but my thoughts were cleveland started the week with a big emotional game, le bron back in town ( crowd was 50/50 with regard to him ), they push it to the end, then they begin to get run out of the gym by okc and houston only to get back in it when starters are pulled for visitors and lose both. now on the road to NY.. they have to be drained physically and mentally after the week they had and no KI.. knicks could roll by 20/25?
probably, but books did a nice job posting a ridiculous line. who the hell is dropping the knicks -10 to beat a team right next to them in the standings? one of those you just close your eyes and bet if u take the knicks but also just can't bet cavs in this spot. i can't lay the DD myself...line is basically the same as last week when the knicks hosted bucks
yeah, sure glad that nutty line freaked me out....
Point spreads and totals for the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 games have been posted in Las Vegas. The lines listed are the consensus around town as of Monday morning, with notes on how the numbers have moved or may differ from book to book included below.Thursday, March 27, 2014Dayton vs. Stanford (-2.5, 132.5), South Region, Memphis, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBSThe Linemakers’ Kenny White made this line Stanford -2 immediately after the Cardinal’s win over Kansas on Sunday. Most shops opened Stanford -2.5 and remained there Monday morning, while the South Point opened Stanford -3. Totals opened as low as 129.5, at the LVH and South Point, and were bet up to the 132-133 range.UCLA vs. Florida (-4.5 137), South Region, Memphis, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBSSome shops have flashed Florida -5, and the South Point bounced between 4.5 and 5 in early wagering. Treasure Island opened Florida -4 Sunday night.Baylor vs. Wisconsin (-3,136.5), West Region, Anaheim, 7:47 p.m. ET, TBSThe Badgers opened -3.5 at the South Point, but immediate action on Oregon pushed the number down to 3.San Diego State vs. Arizona (-6, 122.5), West Region, Anaheim, 10:17 p.m., TBSThis is the largest spread of the Sweet 16 round. The South Point opened Arizona -6.5 and was pushed down to -6.Friday, March 28, 2014Tennessee at Michigan (-1.5, 131), Midwest Region, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBSUnderdog bettors can find Tennessee +2 around town. The South Point opened at that price on Sunday but adjusted to 1.5 Monday morning.Kentucky vs. Louisville (-5, 138.5), Midwest Region, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBSSome 4.5s have appeared around town, but as of this posting, Louisville -5 is the clear consensus.UConn vs. Iowa State (-1, 146.5), East Region, 7:27 p.m. ET, TBSWhile most shops opened Iowa State -1 and stuck there as of Monday morning, the South Point opened the game a pick 'em and was pushed to Cyclones -1.5. The total here is the highest of these eight games, which pits one the nation’s best OVER bets (Iowa is 20-13 O/U this season) against one the best UNDER teams (UConn is 12-22 O/U).Michigan State (-1, 126) vs. Virginia, East Region, 9:57 p.m. ET, TBSThe Spartans are the only team in this round to open as a favorite against a higher-seeded opponent. Michigan State actually opened -2 at the South Point, but the book moved to -1 within about a half hour after posting its original number.
Point spreads and totals for the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 games have been posted in Las Vegas. The lines listed are the consensus around town as of Monday morning, with notes on how the numbers have moved or may differ from book to book included below.Thursday, March 27, 2014Dayton vs. Stanford (-2.5, 132.5), South Region, Memphis, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBSThe Linemakers’ Kenny White made this line Stanford -2 immediately after the Cardinal’s win over Kansas on Sunday. Most shops opened Stanford -2.5 and remained there Monday morning, while the South Point opened Stanford -3. Totals opened as low as 129.5, at the LVH and South Point, and were bet up to the 132-133 range.UCLA vs. Florida (-4.5 137), South Region, Memphis, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBSSome shops have flashed Florida -5, and the South Point bounced between 4.5 and 5 in early wagering. Treasure Island opened Florida -4 Sunday night.Baylor vs. Wisconsin (-3,136.5), West Region, Anaheim, 7:47 p.m. ET, TBSThe Badgers opened -3.5 at the South Point, but immediate action on Oregon pushed the number down to 3.San Diego State vs. Arizona (-6, 122.5), West Region, Anaheim, 10:17 p.m., TBSThis is the largest spread of the Sweet 16 round. The South Point opened Arizona -6.5 and was pushed down to -6.Friday, March 28, 2014Tennessee at Michigan (-1.5, 131), Midwest Region, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBSUnderdog bettors can find Tennessee +2 around town. The South Point opened at that price on Sunday but adjusted to 1.5 Monday morning.Kentucky vs. Louisville (-5, 138.5), Midwest Region, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBSSome 4.5s have appeared around town, but as of this posting, Louisville -5 is the clear consensus.UConn vs. Iowa State (-1, 146.5), East Region, 7:27 p.m. ET, TBSWhile most shops opened Iowa State -1 and stuck there as of Monday morning, the South Point opened the game a pick 'em and was pushed to Cyclones -1.5. The total here is the highest of these eight games, which pits one the nation’s best OVER bets (Iowa is 20-13 O/U this season) against one the best UNDER teams (UConn is 12-22 O/U).Michigan State (-1, 126) vs. Virginia, East Region, 9:57 p.m. ET, TBSThe Spartans are the only team in this round to open as a favorite against a higher-seeded opponent. Michigan State actually opened -2 at the South Point, but the book moved to -1 within about a half hour after posting its original number.
another nice spot for the Knicks but again I'll pass. Can't lay 7.5 when the Wizards, a much better team, were just here laying 5
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| Date | Link | Day | Season | Team | Opp | Site | Final | Rest | Line | Total | SUm | ATSm | OUm | DPS | DPA | SUr | ATSr | OUr | ot |
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| Mar 25, 2014 | recap | Tue | 2013 | Knicks | Lakers | away | 1&1 | -7.5 | 216.5 |
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some sweet 16 trends:
L8 years higher seeds when favored are 46-18 SU
#1 seeds favored by 5 or less have covered just 2 of last 13 games
favs of 5.5+ are exactly 17-17-1 ATS in last 10 years but great SU
when two low seeds meet the lower of the two has dominated ATS
double digit seeds vs teams seeded 5 or less are terrible SU bets but almost 50/50 ATS
low totals = unders, high totals = overs
L8 years higher seeds when favored are 46-18 SU
#1 seeds favored by 5 or less have covered just 2 of last 13 games
favs of 5.5+ are exactly 17-17-1 ATS in last 10 years but great SU
when two low seeds meet the lower of the two has dominated ATS
double digit seeds vs teams seeded 5 or less are terrible SU bets but almost 50/50 ATS
low totals = unders, high totals = overs
your sweet 16 pdws....
https://www.dropbox.com/s/i7y80bvo6ha4129/CBB 2013 Daily Schedule Thu Mar 27.xlsm
https://www.dropbox.com/s/i7y80bvo6ha4129/CBB 2013 Daily Schedule Thu Mar 27.xlsm
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