2 GAMES SIDE AND TOTAL FOR SUNDAY.

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NEW ENGLAND at INDIANAPOLIS(4) 43.5

new england knows how to win the low scoring defensive battles and they can win the shoot-outs.
this is definately a "whatever it takes" team.
they are going into indy catching them off ahard fought comeback vs a physically draining game on the road and looking forward to a showdown with the tenn titans for the division lead.
a classic flat spot, especially favorable for a top caliber opponent like the pats.
new england games on the road before hosting the miami dolphins;(who they have next), has revealed some interesting numbers...
1st, when they were installed as dogs they went 2-0-1 ats since 95.
when they were installed as favorites they went 0-2-1 ats since 95.
the common thread being the scores of these games. 14-16,13-10,10-13,12-9,7-27 and 17-14.
an average point total of 27.
2nd, onto the trends...
ne covered 13 of last 14 games in indianapolis.
ne covered 22 of the last 29 overall vs indy.
the road team covered 19 of the last 27, and the dog has went 20-5-2 ats in the last 27 matchups.
3rd, onto the final layer of ice, the situational edges..
new england has always been a consistent killer when coming off an overtime win going 8-0 ats including a win this year.
on the other hand indianapolis has been a notorious ats victim in games following a visit to buffalo going 0-8-1 ats since 1993.

NEW ENGLAND WINS THIS GAME 16-13


KANSAS CITY(7) 48.5 at SAN DIEGO..

there is only one thing i can find to make a case for sd in this one, and that is the underdog in the 2nd game of this series has went 10-2-2 ats the last 14 years.
i love flutie, all he does is win... in actuality he is 1-11 outright in his last 12 regular season starts.
vermiel on the other hand has installed a belief in his team that when you start a road trip, you must get out of the gate fast so to speak.
looking at the chiefs under vermiel's reign again revealed some interesting numbers.
1st, in back to back road games the chiefs have gotten out of the gate fast, going 6-0 ats in the first of the road games with the point total of these games coming in at an average of 57 pts per game.
2nd, kc also enjoys stomping a mudhole in someones ass before they go to play at denver.
they've went 6-0 ats in these games since 1996, dancing on teams to the tune of,49-10,45-13,42-10,37-34,34-24 and 34-16.
an average of 59 points in these games, an average score of 40-17 with an average victory margin of 23 points.

given kc's recent allowance of opponents to put some points on the board,24,24 and 20, coupled with the fact san diego has quite possibly the worst defense in the league allowing less than 24 points only twice in 11 games,(to chicago and cleveland), i can easily see historic trends repeating themselves once again.

KANSAS CITY WINS THIS GAME 42-20

GAME.
 

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