2/7 Plays, Starting New System

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I've been testing a system lately and it looks promising. I'm going to post my plays so that I stay disciplined.

  • Wright St. -2.5 $68.00 - $59.13
  • Ohio +4 $157.50 - $131.25
  • Oklahoma +9 $85.00 - $77.27
  • BYU +4 $94.50 - $85.91
  • Villanova -7 $185.00 - $176.19
Adding more later......
 

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2/7 Additions

  • East Tennessee St. +3 $126.00 - $105.00
  • Wofford +4 $116.00 - $105.45
  • The Citadel +4 $85.50 - $71.25
  • Appalachian St. -2 $85.00 - $70.83
  • Syracuse -4 $66.50 - $60.45
  • Marist +2 $101.00 - $87.83
  • Syracuse-Connecticut O143 $75.00 - $70.09
  • Butler-Wright St. O120 $122.50 - $116.67
  • St. Peter's $186.50 - $169.55
  • Wofford +5 $50.00 - $41.67
  • Rider -5 $157.50 - $131.25
  • Siena-Niagara U149 $67.50 - $64.90
  • Davidson-Wofford O137.5 $82.50 - $77.10
  • The Citadel-Furman U138.5 $115.18 - $107.64
  • College of Charelston +5 $88.50 - $73.75
 

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More 2/7 Positions

  • Appalachian St.-Western Carolina U148 $127.50 - $115.91
  • Bowling Green-Ohio U143 $92.50 - $90.69
  • Iona - Rider U144.5 $110.00 - $104.76
  • Villanova-St. Joseph's $57.50 - $52.27
Even more later....
 

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Thats a lot of plays bro. I don't think any one will take your system seriously if you post so many plays for just one day. I think it would be wise to slim it down and post the stronger plays. But its just my opinion. Keep on doing your thing

Gl
 

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People will take me seriously if I do well, regardless of how many plays I make.

I'm not guaranteeing success. But I did test it on over 200+ games and it was profitable.

My area of gambling expertise is MLB, and I buy all my positions based solely on a statistical system. And I buy a team in around 95% of games. It's highly successful, so I'm trying to use similar concepts on other sports. Might not work but at least it keeps me from wasting my money on parlays and teasers.
 

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Yes.

I was not planning on it, because I'm a greedy bastard and didn't want to lose any of my edge. But I've gotten a lot of value out of this forum so I have changed my mind.

My only caveat is that I will not post until after I've bought my positions. Unfortunately that is normally within an hour of game time because I wait for the line-up to be released.

If my system for college bball sucks, do yourself a favor and forget about it when April 4 comes. I do guarantee profits then.
 

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Adding

  • New Mexico +1.5 $161.00 - $162.61
  • Western Kentucky-Florida International U138 $57.50 - $58.08
 

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Last plays of the night....
  • UNLV +7.5 $62.00 - $53.91
  • UNLV +8 $25 - $21.74
  • Colorado St. +4 $109.00 - $103.81
  • Air Force-Colorado St. O115 $323.65 - $308.24
  • Air Force-Colorado St. O114.5 $25.00 - $24.04
We'll see where I stand in the morning....
 

Rx Senior
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Thawk. . is there any reason for betting the odd numbers and cents that you are on these games???
 

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Yeah....

I bet $50 per 1 point overlay (the difference between my line and the spread).

So if the overlay = 1.5, I bet ($50)*(1.5) = $75.

It looks like a pain but I have it all set up in Excel so it's really not bad.
 

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Adding more on to CSU.

This thing keeps moving in my favor. It was either 1.5 or 2.5 this morning.
  • Colorado St. +4.5 $25.00 - $23.15
 

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2/7 Recap

Loss of $657.20.

Since I play 1 unit = $50, in unit terms I am down 13.14 units.

Looks bad but the system is still up significant units since I started tracking it on my own. I will be adding 2/8 plays later.

Early side leans (with rough unit estimates). Note: These can/will change with significant line movement.

  • St. John's (1 unit)
  • Clemson (3.5 units)
  • Illinois (2.5 units)
  • UNC Greensboro (2 units)
  • Iowa St. (2.5 units)
  • Southeast Missouri St. (1 unit)
  • Virginia Tech (2.5 units)
  • Colorado (1 unit)
 

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Not a knock, but there is NO way you will win, regardless of whatever type of system you are using, if you play that many games.

It can't be done.

GL!

Chalk
 

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It can be done he will break even for sure and if the system doesen't crap on itself. The more games he plays he better chance of hitting 50%.
 

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chalk,

That is the conventional wisdom, but I know for a fact it's not true.

I have a MLB model I've used the past 1.5 seasons. I bet strictly on the moneyline, and each bet is 1 unit. I play around 95% of the games. And I've made great returns on it each year.

I suppose college basketball could be different. I am admittedly a rookie when it comes to serious college basketball betting. Maybe you can't make many plays and I will lose. Or maybe my system will just flat suck.

What I do know is that through 225 games (that's 450 possible positions), my system has advocated taking 214 positions. And currently the system is up 19.38 units on sides and 37.64 units on totals. Now that could just be luck, but for now I'm sticking with it.
 

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