2/26 NCAA Hoops

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Go Pittsburgh!
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Sep 20, 2004
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Guys, the original plan was to shut it down till tourney time but after a few days break and then some changes to the capping strategy, I've gone 5-2 the last 2 nights. I will be gone this weekend so I will have more time to re-charge. As for tonight, I am back in:

FWIW, here is who I am playing and here is the disappointing YTD - 220-214 50.69% -25.16U


LA Tech +1.5 3.27/3.00

Will not be a popular play but UTEP is not the same team on the road: 66.6 PPG & allows 73.5 PPG. 41.4 FG% and allows 45.29 FG%. LA Tech is almost complete reverse at home: 72.6 PPG and allows 66.4 PPG. 44.4 FG% and allows 41.7 FG%. Here is the big one - UTEP gets out-rebounded 37-32 away and LA Tech outrebounds at home 43-32. LA Tech lost by only 3 @ UTEP, I think they even the score tonight.


Oregon +4 2.22/2.00

Oregon is 12-0 when their opponnet scores 76 or less. CAL managed only 56 in the first matchup so I'd say we have a good chance. Oregon's slim tourney hopes become none if they lose this game so look for a focused defensive effort. Oregon is the superior offensive team but check this out - Oregon has a 10% advantage at the free throw line as they shoot 73.5% on the road while CAl struggles at 63.9%. Oregon beat CAL by 12 in the first matchup despite missing 10 free throws(61%). This should be a very close game with Oregon having an excellent chance to win. I am taking the four points.
 

Go Pittsburgh!
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
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Decided to add:

Canisius +5 2.04/2.00

I would really love this play except that Canisius is without Doss & Siena will have an edge on the boards, but...... Canisius is 5-1 ATS revenging a home loss and 7-3 ATS on the road. Siena is 1-9 ATS at home and 0-3 ATS as a 3.5-6 pt favorite. Siena shoots less than 40% FG% and 61.6% free throws at home. Not the kind of numbers you want to have laying five to a good road team.
 

Go Pittsburgh!
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
4,564
Tokens
Well, well. 2 games down & two more losers...and I thought I had a brekthrough. Well, I'm about to go 2-0 in the NBA so this next play is not chasing..


Gonzaga -33 2.14/2.00

I have never laid this much chalk but someone has to. Why should the Zags call of the dogs when they are playing for seeding? Very few opportunities in front of a national TV audience. They will want to blow SD out of the gym to make the most of the exposure in an effort to get a respectful seed that past commitees denied them.
 

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