Seeming to rebound from LW's disaster with a
2-0 start.
69-71-3 YTD.
Have to post early b/c I will be gone all day tomorrow.
Purdue (+5')
Michigan has dominated this series and Purdue has not ben that great as a road dog (but 2-0 ATS this year). Michigan is only 2-6 ATS as a Home Fav laying single digits.
Purdue is only allowing 66 yards per game on the ground. Michigan should be able to throw the ball on Purdue, but I feel the Boilers have a better defense as was evident against Wisconsin LW.
I think this will be close all the way and these points are attractive in this spot.
Indiana (+21)
I will be at this one tomorrow.
You would think that the Buckeyes should be laying a lot more here to IU, the worst team in the Big 10.
Ohio State is 0-3 ATS laying double-digits this year.
The Hoosiers are not good defensively, but I don't expect the Buckeyes to light up the scoreboard and feel they may be held under 30 here.
IU may be able to run the ball with True Frosh BenJarvus Green-Ellis (407 yds) and Brian Lewis (378 yards).
IU covered at Michigan with a backdoor and this one has backdoor written all over it.
Florida State (-18')
Wake is very good as a dog, but I still feel they are overvalued from their early-season hot start.
I don't expect Wake Forest to move the ball at all on FSU, who is only allowing 266 yards per game.
Wake comes off their domination of Duke and FSU looked mediocre at UVA LW. However, I feel this line should be 3 TDs at least.
Texas Tech (-3)
The Red Raiders are 31-5 ATS off a SU loss.
Missouri allows 64% completions and leave the middle and underneath routes open a lot. Middle Tennessee State threw all over them.
The Red Raiders are also 8-3 ATS as a Road Fav in their L11 times in that role.
I think Mizzou is drained from their win over Nebraska and tough battle in Norman LW.
Penn State (+10')
Iowa is tough at home but PSU is 7-2 ATS as a Road Dog the L3 years and 7-2 ATS their L9 Big 10 road games.
PSU is also 8-4 ATS after a bye.
PSU is terrible against the run, but good against the pass. I don't feel Iowa will be able to pull away just running the ball.
Everyone expects Iowa to be so mad and fired up after the loss LW, but I think that's overreaction and that Penn State hangs close.
Notre Dame (+4)
I have made 2 mistakes with ND this year against USC and Michigan where they were big dogs and I got trapped.
ND dominated against BC last year and still lost. BC is probably the weakest team the Irish has played all year and they will be up for this one.
Tennessee (-3)
The Visitor is 9-1 ATS in this series. This is a huge revenge game for the Vols who are still smarting from their loss to Georgia.
Fulmer came down pretty hard on the Vols during the bye week and I feel they drop the hammer here.
Clausen is much better on the road (11-1) than at home. Alabama is still banged-up at QB and their defense was exposed versus Eli and the Rebels LW.
Oregon (-9')
I hate laying this kind of number with Oregon as bad as they have played of late, but Stanford is playing terrible.
Oregon is 10-3 ATS off a bye week.
I don't think Stanford can take advantage of Oregon's poor secondary and I think the Ducks still remember when Stanford spoiled their undefeated season in Autzen.
Bowling Green (-3')
BG had their undefeated season spolied by Northern Illinois LY.
Teams that are unbeaten at 7-0 or better are just 43% ATS on the road and only 44-74-3 (37%) if the opponent is coming off a win.
BG is also unranked in one poll and are favored over a ranked team here.
I think the crowd will be hyped today and BG gets their revenge over Northern Illinois, who has only covered 1 of its last 3.
Central Florida (-7)
UCF was predicted to win the MAC East in some preseason polls.
Central Michigan is only 6-15 ATS as a Road Dog in their L21 tries.
UCF has a big team meeting and aired their frustrations with Mike Kruczek. I think they come out on fire here and Schneider is just about 100%, while CMU has a QB controversy.
Mississippi State (+10)
This game and the next game versus Alabama may be Jackie Sherrill's best chances at wins the rest of the year.
I think the Lorenzen-Boyd QB controversy is still brewing and Miss State will play hard the rest of the year. Then again, I said that LW, but UK is not 3-deep at RB like Auburn was.
New Mexico (+8')
Utah has killed me this year, but they have to not cover one sooner or later. New Mexico has a very tough defense and is 13-7 ATS in second straight road games.
New Mexico forced 6 turnovers LW at San Diego State and will get a couple here to keep it close.
Connecticut (-8)
UConn is 7-2 ATS as a fav and 4-1 ATS when hosting MAC teams and have covered 6 of 8 versus the MAC. Akron is only 2-5 ATS their L7 as a road dog.
Akron may be looking ahead to their roadie at Marshall next week.
The Huskies also have a much better defense than Akron.
I like 2-3 late ones, but want to see how I do with these early ones.
2-0 start.
69-71-3 YTD.
Have to post early b/c I will be gone all day tomorrow.
Purdue (+5')
Michigan has dominated this series and Purdue has not ben that great as a road dog (but 2-0 ATS this year). Michigan is only 2-6 ATS as a Home Fav laying single digits.
Purdue is only allowing 66 yards per game on the ground. Michigan should be able to throw the ball on Purdue, but I feel the Boilers have a better defense as was evident against Wisconsin LW.
I think this will be close all the way and these points are attractive in this spot.
Indiana (+21)
I will be at this one tomorrow.
You would think that the Buckeyes should be laying a lot more here to IU, the worst team in the Big 10.
Ohio State is 0-3 ATS laying double-digits this year.
The Hoosiers are not good defensively, but I don't expect the Buckeyes to light up the scoreboard and feel they may be held under 30 here.
IU may be able to run the ball with True Frosh BenJarvus Green-Ellis (407 yds) and Brian Lewis (378 yards).
IU covered at Michigan with a backdoor and this one has backdoor written all over it.
Florida State (-18')
Wake is very good as a dog, but I still feel they are overvalued from their early-season hot start.
I don't expect Wake Forest to move the ball at all on FSU, who is only allowing 266 yards per game.
Wake comes off their domination of Duke and FSU looked mediocre at UVA LW. However, I feel this line should be 3 TDs at least.
Texas Tech (-3)
The Red Raiders are 31-5 ATS off a SU loss.
Missouri allows 64% completions and leave the middle and underneath routes open a lot. Middle Tennessee State threw all over them.
The Red Raiders are also 8-3 ATS as a Road Fav in their L11 times in that role.
I think Mizzou is drained from their win over Nebraska and tough battle in Norman LW.
Penn State (+10')
Iowa is tough at home but PSU is 7-2 ATS as a Road Dog the L3 years and 7-2 ATS their L9 Big 10 road games.
PSU is also 8-4 ATS after a bye.
PSU is terrible against the run, but good against the pass. I don't feel Iowa will be able to pull away just running the ball.
Everyone expects Iowa to be so mad and fired up after the loss LW, but I think that's overreaction and that Penn State hangs close.
Notre Dame (+4)
I have made 2 mistakes with ND this year against USC and Michigan where they were big dogs and I got trapped.
ND dominated against BC last year and still lost. BC is probably the weakest team the Irish has played all year and they will be up for this one.
Tennessee (-3)
The Visitor is 9-1 ATS in this series. This is a huge revenge game for the Vols who are still smarting from their loss to Georgia.
Fulmer came down pretty hard on the Vols during the bye week and I feel they drop the hammer here.
Clausen is much better on the road (11-1) than at home. Alabama is still banged-up at QB and their defense was exposed versus Eli and the Rebels LW.
Oregon (-9')
I hate laying this kind of number with Oregon as bad as they have played of late, but Stanford is playing terrible.
Oregon is 10-3 ATS off a bye week.
I don't think Stanford can take advantage of Oregon's poor secondary and I think the Ducks still remember when Stanford spoiled their undefeated season in Autzen.
Bowling Green (-3')
BG had their undefeated season spolied by Northern Illinois LY.
Teams that are unbeaten at 7-0 or better are just 43% ATS on the road and only 44-74-3 (37%) if the opponent is coming off a win.
BG is also unranked in one poll and are favored over a ranked team here.
I think the crowd will be hyped today and BG gets their revenge over Northern Illinois, who has only covered 1 of its last 3.
Central Florida (-7)
UCF was predicted to win the MAC East in some preseason polls.
Central Michigan is only 6-15 ATS as a Road Dog in their L21 tries.
UCF has a big team meeting and aired their frustrations with Mike Kruczek. I think they come out on fire here and Schneider is just about 100%, while CMU has a QB controversy.
Mississippi State (+10)
This game and the next game versus Alabama may be Jackie Sherrill's best chances at wins the rest of the year.
I think the Lorenzen-Boyd QB controversy is still brewing and Miss State will play hard the rest of the year. Then again, I said that LW, but UK is not 3-deep at RB like Auburn was.
New Mexico (+8')
Utah has killed me this year, but they have to not cover one sooner or later. New Mexico has a very tough defense and is 13-7 ATS in second straight road games.
New Mexico forced 6 turnovers LW at San Diego State and will get a couple here to keep it close.
Connecticut (-8)
UConn is 7-2 ATS as a fav and 4-1 ATS when hosting MAC teams and have covered 6 of 8 versus the MAC. Akron is only 2-5 ATS their L7 as a road dog.
Akron may be looking ahead to their roadie at Marshall next week.
The Huskies also have a much better defense than Akron.
I like 2-3 late ones, but want to see how I do with these early ones.
